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Slew of economic stimuli brings back the shine on Brand Modi

Barely few days ahead of Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s visit to the US and his meeting with American President Donald Trump, India’s finance minister Nirmala Sitharaman has brought good news for corporate India. She has doled out sops for companies and announced an array of economic stimulus aimed at accelerating economic growth. The recent announcements have brought back optimism in corporate boardrooms.

Insiders say that talks of economic slowdown in the country followed by reports of job losses and shrinking investments had started to erode the value and power of Brand Modi.

“He is back..Brand Modi is in news once again,” an analyst pointed out, requesting anonymity.

On Friday, the finance minister slashed corporate tax rate for domestic companies from 30% to 25.17% which includes all cess and surcharges. Among other things, domestic manufacturing companies that have been incorporated after October 1 can opt to pay income tax at 15%. Effectively, this will be 17.01% inclusive of surcharge and tax.

The new rates will be applicable from April 1.

The announcement of the new tax rates has provided a much-needed booster for economic growth, which slowed to a six-year low of 5% during the April to June quarter of the current financial year. More importantly, it has managed to spin positive sentiments — essential for investments, growth and more importantly jobs.

Today’s announcements will give PM Modi a huge opportunity once again to showcase India as an investment destination. High tax rates have been one of the major reasons for low investments. The late finance minister Arun Jaitley too had pointed out the need to lower tax rates for improving compliance, investments and expansion of tax base.  

With the lowering of corporate tax rate to 25.17%, India would be on par with several other Asian economies.

The moot point is: Why didn’t the government announce these measures earlier?

Well, the exchequer will take a hit of Rs 1.54 lakh crore annually due to these measures. The government, until now, had attached more importance to fiscal disciple and consolidation than other critical aspects and this has had a direct impact on economic growth and jobs. Despite the Rs 1.76 lakh crore that it has received from the Reserve Bank of India it will be difficult for the Modi government to adhere to the 3.3% fiscal deficit target this year with these announcements on the tax front.

The government must realise the over-arching importance of boosting the economy, crucial for generating jobs. No government can afford to let the economy be on a slowdown mode while keeping a tight watch on the fiscal path. The government, therefore, need not be over enthusiastic about maintaining fiscal deficit targets at this juncture when the economy does need a shot in the arm– even if it means stretching the target marginally for a year or two.

Kashmiris on the path to take control of their destiny

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It’s a month and half since the decision to reorganise the state of Jammu and Kashmir into two Union Territories (UTs) was taken. The government has announced that these UTs will become effective on October 31, 2019 which is another one and a half month from now. We are therefore standing in the cusp of this monumental decision. Volumes have been written and spoken on the subject. In the public domain, there has been both approbation and criticism even as the tilt has remained towards the former. In international circles the reaction from Pakistan has been virulent, as was expected, but the country has failed to garner support from other nations except China, and that also to a limited extent.

Within the state, no upheaval has been witnessed in Jammu and Ladakh that roughly forms more than 80% of the geographical area and constitutes about 50% of the population. In the Kashmir region that constitutes about 16% of the territory and about half the population of the state, there is a perceived discontent even though there’s no violent spill-over, as some would have expected and even prayed for, has been witnessed.

Under prevailing circumstances a high degree of acceptance as also in consideration of the fact that the new dispensation is irreversible, the best option would be to look towards the future and see how it can be leveraged for the maximum benefit by the people of the state and the nation at large.

The first benefit is that the malevolent shadow of Pakistan which has been lingering over the state since partition of the sub-continent in 1947 is gone forever. New Delhi has exhibited extraordinary will and courage of conviction to break Pakistan’s bogey and also the ruckus at the international level that this country generates all the time. The people of Jammu and Kashmir can now make decisions in the manner that they deem fit. Pakistan, UN, Organisation of Islamic Conference, US, Saudi Arabia and others to whom their self professed leaders used to go running for help and assistance are not likely to interfere anymore.

With a view of seeing its bold decision hitting firm ground at the earliest, the government is seized with the challenge to provide peace, negate divisiveness and accelerate development within the state. The message to the people is “You root for peace and democracy; the nation will work with you towards employment, development and prosperity.” Such a message would hold great significance to all people in the current world where quality of life is rated above all else and Jammu and Kashmir should be no different.

The people need to strengthen roots of democracy in their state; they need to integrate with their nation and onwards with the world. They need to optimise the resources that their nation is providing for their uplift. This aid is not a favour; it is a necessity to facilitate them in getting over the troubled era of foreign sponsored terrorism; they do not need to show gratitude, they simply need to put it to good use.

The evolving situation has also opened for the people a window of opportunity to go for a leadership change. They can use it to shed the small coterie of self-centered leadership and so-called intelligentsia that has dominated them for decades, rather, since the country gained independence. While the politicians indulged only in self-serving politics that ensured control over the state and its people, the so-called intelligentsia that attempts to take ownership of this so called Kashmir cause had nothing more than a motivated agenda to work on. The divisive agendas based on anarchic contradictions are, by now, well known and need no elaboration. With this new dispensation coming in, the foundation for a more responsive and new set of leaders has been laid. Let the old remain, as democracy dictates, but let them also prove their worth and fight for space with the new.

The new leadership of Jammu and Kashmir should be such that shuns ideological contradictions that are the main cause behind the divisiveness and disruption which plagues the society. Politicians with contradicting views complicate matters. The leadership should instead remain focussed on the well being of the people while following the path of good sense and moderation.

Such a thought process has been well expressed by Lt. General (retired) PS Mehta who is also a son-of-the-soil from Kashmir. “I think the wisdom lies in facing the reality and seeing the present situation as the exit or escape route from the evils of Azaadi and indoctrination by Pakistan and Hurriyat, but with dignity and joining the mainstream socio-politics of the new UTs,” he has said, most aptly, in a comprehensive article.

Despite diverse geographical regions and demographics, Jammu and Kashmir has forever remained rooted in a spirit of brotherhood, mutual trust, democracy and the ability to understand each other’s point of view. It is to the credit of the people of the state, especially the Kashmiri population that they have kept their faith in democratic tenets even in the worst of times. They have, forever, maintained that their problems cannot be resolved by the gun. It is these qualities which will now help in building a new era that will see the people achieving their lost glory and once again getting to the forefront as a highly cultured and prosperous civilisation. Every citizen of the state has to make a contribution in order to maintain this momentum. It is time for the Kashmiri community to become a master of its own destiny. Give peace a chance and then see the results.

A public presentation by Armin Navabi: Humanist Association of Ottawa & Atheist Republic Ottawa Consulate

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In today’s polarized climate of discourse in the public square, a consistent target of attack has emerged: enlightenment values of free speech, reason, scientific inquiry, and the separation of church and state. Government-backed suppression and execution of non-believers — particularly in Muslim-majority countries — is at the nexus of attention by human rights organizations around the world. Meanwhile, hardliners from both the regressive left and alt-right political extremes have pursued aggressive stances, advocating violence, bigotry and censorship. Beyond voicing outrage about this overall situation, what can be done?

Armin Navabi is author of Why There Is No God, a secular Muslim from Iran and the founder of Atheist Republic, the world’s largest atheist network — a non-profit organization with over 200 consulates worldwide. Atheist Republic is dedicated to offering a safe community for atheists around the world to share their ideas and meet like-minded individuals.

For event information:

https://www.eventbrite.com/e/enlightenment-under-attack-defending-secular-values-against-religious-and-political-extremism-tickets-69588746815

The Humanist Association of Ottawa and Atheist Republic Ottawa Consulate are organizing the talk at Sala San Marco, 215 Preston Street. Tickets are $10 for members and $15 for non-members on eventbrite.com, http://tiny.cc/navabi, or at the door.

Date And Time

Sun, September 22, 2019

2:00 PM – 4:00 PM EDT

Location

Sala San Marco Event & Conference Centre

215 Preston Street

Ottawa, ON K1R 7R1

Media Contact

Scott Jacobsen

Press Agent, Atheist Republic

Scott.D.Jacobsen@Gmail.Com

Robert Hamilton

robert.hamilton3@gmail.com

613-325-2400

No photo description available.

Rationalize taxes to boost tourism in India

Can you think of a country that is rich in natural beauty and history but has not been able to prioritise tourism? India is an example.

In 2018, just about 10 million foreign tourists arrived in India. In 2015, the number was 8 million. Compare this with other Asian giants. According to reports, China recorded 30.54 million foreign visitors in 2018

Thailand, a country which is about six times smaller than India, received over 38 million tourists. The industry accounted for about one fifth of the country’s GDP. Malaysia, despite registering a 3% drop in the number of inbound tourists, received about 26 million tourists in 2018.

These numbers speak volumes.

At a time when India is battling economic slowdown leading to job losses and shrinking investments, it needs to focus more on developing the tourism sector. This would mean intertwining the transport sector comprising roads, aviation, railways with hospitality – hotels and food and beverages.  

Prime Minister Narendra Modi, who celebrated his 69th birthday on Tuesday said that the 11 month old Statue of Unity in Gujarat has attracted an average of about 8,500 tourists per day.

However, this year has brought little cheer to the tourism industry. Political uncertainty has risen since the Pulwama attack in February, which killed over 40 Central Reserve Police Force personnel. Tension between India and Pakistan has been mounting since then. However, bilateral relations worsened after August 5, when India abrogated Article 370 and bifurcated Jammu and Kashmir into two union territories — Jammu and Kashmir with an assembly and Ladakh without one. Since August 5, the Kashmir Valley has been shut for visitors and blacking out of information by the government has further drawn widespread criticism from across the globe.

Not just that. One must also remember that the sudden demonetisation of high value currency notes in one stroke and the subsequent implementation of the Goods and Services Tax which left many confused in the initial phase have also had a role to play in dampening the sector. The GST rate applicable on luxury hotels with tariffs of over Rs 7,500 — categorised as “sin goods” is 28%.

These decisions, some of which have been sudden and implemented without any well thought out strategy, have only made things worse.

Countries such as Thailand, Malaysia and Sri Lanka have extremely competitive rates and India loses not only foreign tourists but even domestic tourists have preferred opting for international destinations because of their pricing.

Besides, a poll by global experts ranked India as one of the most dangerous countries for women. Reports suggested that crimes against women have significantly risen.

An industry insider, wishing anonymity said that such reports have dented the image of India. “Incredible India” – the campaign aimed at promoting tourism in India was launched in 2002. It has remained just a campaign.

According to India Brand Equity Foundation, the travel and tourism sector in India accounted for 8% of total employment in 2017, providing jobs to about 41.6 million people. This is one sector, which not only provides direct employment to people but has the potential to generate thousands of indirect jobs especially for those in the unorganised sector.

While the Narendra Modi government has underlined the need to boost this sector and worked towards easing issuance of visa, it has to do much more.

India and its policy makers must understand the real issues that plague the sector. The government has indeed reduced visa fees while facilitating e-visas but it needs to look beyond.

Safety for women across the country, stability and certainty in political moves besides improvement of tourism infrastructure will be critical. And it goes without saying that pricing is one area that needs immediate attention. After all, in today’s day and age, staying in a luxury hotel cannot be perceived as “sin”. Taxes have to be brought down.

Arizona and More Wedding Cake Challenges and Legalized Discrimination

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E.J. Montini in the Arizona Republic reported on the Arizona Supreme Court move to attempt to use religion as a basis for “bigotry and discrimination.” Within the state Court of Appeals, the notion got rejected. However, the Supreme Court could turn either way at the time. Governor Doug Ducey stacked the Arizona Supreme Court with judges more in line with the individuals who prefer his ideology and temperament.

Jessica Boehm, from the Arizona Republic, stated that artists who make cakes do not have to make cakes for LGBTI+ couples because these could convey a message against the cake-makers’ deepest convictions, i.e., Christian beliefs stand against messages for equality in marriage of the LGBTI+ community.

Apparently, there was an ordinance for the city of Phoenix, Arizona, in which discrimination in the “providing [of] goods or services at places of public accommodation based on race, color, religion, sex, national origin, marital status, sexual orientation, gender identity or expression, or disability” is expressly illegal.

Brush & Nib in Phoenix designs custom wedding invitations. On the case, Montini provided a concise and astute observation, “It’s a shame this is even a issue. We can hold any beliefs we want. But discrimination is discrimination. “Heterosexuals only” is the same as ‘whites only.’ Every other argument is smoke and mirrors. The state’s highest court fell for the phony argument in a way that lower courts had not. Brush & Nib is like any other public accommodation. A gas station. A grocery store. A barber shop. A restaurant.”

If the denial of service to African-Americans on the basis of Christian beliefs with the same argument, based on the argument as to what message this will send to the public, and based on their deep religious convictions, we come to the, rather obvious, conclusion of the discrimination against the African-American population in wedding cake services. Similarly, one need merely apply the same argument form with different, LGBTI+, content to make the point more explicitly.

Montini concluded, “The owners and employees of such businesses are free to hold whatever beliefs they wish, and they are free to express them. Denying service is another thing, however. It’s a sad day when the state Supreme Court doesn’t recognize that. Because if it’s okay to discriminate against same-sex couples by claiming some devout religious beliefs then anyone can make similar claims to justify discriminating against … anyone.”

Photo by Diana Akhmetianova on Unsplash

Philosophical and Historical Foundations of American Secularism 3 – Idealism Above, Realism Below

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Dr. Herb Silverman is the Founder of the Secular Coalition for America, the Founder of the Secular Humanists of the Lowcountry, and the Founder of the Atheist/Humanist Alliance student group at the College of Charleston. He authored Complex variables (1975), Candidate Without a Prayer: An Autobiography of a Jewish Atheist in the Bible Belt (2012) and An Atheist Stranger in a Strange Religious Land: Selected Writings from the Bible Belt (2017). He co-authored The Fundamentals of Extremism: The Christian Right in America (2003) with Kimberley Blaker and Edward S. Buckner, Complex Variables with Applications (2007) with Saminathan Ponnusamy, and Short Reflections on Secularism (2019).

Here we talk about the drafts of the American Constitution and personal beliefs behind it.

Scott Douglas Jacobsen: During the writing of the American Constitution in its first drafts, and after its completion after the Declaration of Independence, when considering the histories of the framers, what statements in these documents contradicted the personal beliefs or the individual biographies of the framers? 

Dr. Herb Silverman: The religious faith of our founders is irrelevant because they erected a wall of separation between religion and the government they created in our founding documents, the Declaration of Independence and the United States Constitution. However, since you ask, and since there is curiosity about the personal beliefs of our founders, here are some interesting tidbits.

Many of our founders were anti-Catholic. John Adams called Catholicism “nonsense, a delusion, and dangerous in society.” Thomas Jefferson called Catholicism “a retrograde step from lightness to darkness.” (I agree with these founders and would add, as Thomas Paine did, all the other religions.) John Jay, the first Chief Justice of the Supreme Court, drafted language for the New York Constitution proposing tolerance for everyone except Catholics who refuse to renounce papal authority. At the time of the American revolution only about 1.6 percent of the population in the colonies were Catholic. It wasn’t until the immigration waves of the nineteenth century that Catholics began arriving in America in large numbers. This led to the aptly named “Know Nothing” party, formally called the American Party, an anti-Catholic and anti-immigrant party formed in 1850. I was raised in Philadelphia, home of the 1844 “Bible riots” where both Catholics and Protestants were clubbed to death over which version of the Lord’s Prayer should be recited in public school. Protestants won the political battle, and Catholics responded by forming Catholic schools nationwide by 1860.

In a letter to John Adams in 1823, Thomas Jefferson said: “And the day will come when the mystical generation of Jesus, by the supreme being as his father in the womb of a virgin will be classed with the fable of the generation of Minerva in the brain of Jupiter.” He told his nephew in 1787 to “question with boldness even the existence of God.” Jefferson considered reason and science, not superstition and supernaturalism, to be his guides. He wrote his own version of the Christian Bible, leaving out miracle stories and including only what made sense to him. Jefferson referred to what remained as “Diamonds in a dunghill.”

Deism was a rational challenge to orthodox Christianity. Deists believed that the world was the work of a non-intervening Creator. Thomas Jefferson, Benjamin Franklin, and other founders expressed religious views that were strongly deistic. Many founders reflected Deist language in their writings. Thomas Paine, in The Age of Reason, argued that Deism should replace all revelation-based religion. Most of our Founding Fathers were religiously liberal for their time, and thought of the new country as an experiment in secular democracy. Producing a God-free Constitution showed their disdain for intermingling religion and government. George Washington refused to take communion (even though his wife did), reflecting his Deistic tendency to avoid supernatural ritual. He did make some religious gestures to conform to the religious expectations of the times, though he refused to have a priest or religious rituals at his deathbed.

Christian Deism stressed morality and rejected the orthodox Christian view of the divinity of Christ, often viewing him as a sublime, but entirely human, teacher of morality. Instead of accepting the entire Bible as divinely inspired, many believed that reason was the ultimate standard for determining which parts of the Bible were legitimate revelations from God. 

The Declaration of Independence was a call for rebellion against the British Crown. It does mention a higher power four times, as in Laws of Nature and of Nature’s God, Supreme Judge of the world, Creator, and divine Providence. In each case it is an appeal to human dignity. It emphasizes people having inalienable rights. No appeal is made in this document to a god that has authority of any kind. No powers are given to religion in the affairs of man. The founders never cited biblical principles during the Constitutional Convention and ratifications. Both the Declaration and the Constitution source the legitimacy of political rule exclusively in the consent of the governed. Benjamin Franklin, a co-author of the Declaration of Independence with Thomas Jefferson, decried Christian church services for promoting church memberships instead of “trying to make us good citizens.”

Benjamin Rush, a signer of the Declaration of Independence, believed that the Christian religion should be preferred to all others, and that every family in the United States should be furnished, at public expense, with a copy of the Bible. The founders rejected this idea. Orthodox Christians among the Founders include the Calvinistic Samuel Adams, John Jay (who served as president of the American Bible Society), Elias Boudinot (who wrote a book on the imminent second coming of Jesus), and Patrick Henry (who believed in Evangelical Christianity and distributed religious tracts while riding circuit as a lawyer).

As a member of the Constitutional Convention, George Mason strenuously opposed the compromise permitting the continuation of the slave trade. Although he was a Southerner, he called the slave trade disgraceful to mankind. “God” stayed out of the Constitution, but slavery remained in order to keep the Southern colonies as part of this new nation.

The forces opposed to adoption of the Constitution argued that the “no religious test clause” would lead to Catholics, Jews, Mahometans (Muslims), and pagans obtaining office. That is the point of including the clause.

The phrase a “hedge or wall of separation between the garden of the church and the wilderness of the world” was first used by Baptist theologian Roger Williams, founder of the colony of Rhode Island. It was later employed by Jefferson as a commentary on the First Amendment and its restriction on the legislative branch of the federal government. Thomas Jefferson refused to issue Proclamations of Thanksgiving sent to him by Congress during his presidency. After retiring from the presidency, James Madison argued for a stronger separation of church and state, opposing the very presidential issuing of religious proclamations he himself had done, and also opposing the appointment of chaplains to Congress. James Madison said, “Religion and government will both exist in greater purity the less they are mixed together.”

The absence of an establishment of religion did not necessarily imply that all men were free to hold office. Most colonies had a Test Act. Charles Carrol from Maryland, the only Catholic signer of the Declaration, guaranteed full rights to Protestants and Catholics, but not to Jews, Freethinkers, or Deists. He said, “When I signed the Declaration of Independence I had in mind not only our independence of England, but the tolerations of all sects professing the Christian religion, and communicating to them all equal rights.” Several states had these religious tests for a short time. In my state of South Carolina, Protestantism was recognized as the state-established religion. This stood in contrast to the Federal Constitution, which explicitly prohibits the employment of any religious test for federal office, and which, through the Fourteenth Amendment, later extended this prohibition to the States.

There were many attempts by state ratifying conventions to amend the Constitution and subvert the intent of the preamble by declaring that governmental power was derived from God or Jesus Christ, but the proposed religious amendments were defeated.

Though there was some debate about possibly including “God” in the congressional oath, the nation’s first lawmakers instead decided on strictly secular language. It was signed into law by George Washington on June 1, 1789, making it the first law passed by the new United States government.

Jacobsen: Thank you for the opportunity and your time, Dr. Silverman.

Photo by Aaron Burden on Unsplash

Indigo leaves behind check-in baggage of entire flight

Several times in the past Indigo has attracted negative publicity and people’s ire due to unprofessional behavior of its ground staff and unwarranted delays in flight operations. Adding one more incident to that list, the airline has now set a new low in passenger services by leaving behind the luggage of an entire aircraft. Recently, IndiGo, which was flying the passengers to Istanbul, left behind the luggage of the entire aircraft back in Delhi. Twitterati attacked indigo mercilessly for this misadventure and the hashtag #ShameOnIndiGo was trending on Twitter.

Several Twitter users shared that they received a piece of paper when they were waiting for their luggage at the belt.

Twitter user Chinmay Dabke, who was on this Delhi-Istanbul flight, took to his account to share the details of the incident.

About the whole incident an IndiGo spokesperson said, “We upgraded our aircraft and adjusted the payload as long as the prevailing wind conditions remain. So, all the left behind baggage will be carried today. We regret the inconvenience caused to our passengers.”

New wargaming software for Indian Navy

Institute for Systems Studies and Analysis (ISSA) Delhi, a premier DRDO laboratory, has designed and developed a new generation Wargaming Software in collaboration with Maritime Warfare Centre, Visakhapatnam to meet the contemporary operational and tactical level wargaming requirement for the Indian Navy. The Wargaming Software was handed over by Secretary, Department of Defence R&D and Chairman, DRDO Dr G Satheesh Reddy to Vice Chief of the Naval Staff Vice Admiral G Ashok Kumar at ISSA.

The key focus has been to create a wargaming environment which enables Maritime Warfare Centres (MWCs) to train using the latest technological and computing tools. The software has versatile and user-friendly features which enable globally playable wargaming scenarios between multiple forces. It enables exercises to be conducted between geographically dispersed locations over Wide Area Network. The architecture is forward compatible and new functional and equipment modules can be developed and easily plugged in.

RTI can be filed locally in J&K, Ladakh, no need to visit Delhi: Union Minister Jitendra Singh

Brushing aside misinformation sought to be spread in certain quarters, Union Minister Dr. Jitendra Singh, who is also the MoS In-Charge Department of Personnel & Training (DOPT), which is the nodal department for Central Information Commission of India dealing with the Right to Information (RTI) appeals, said that RTI can be filed locally in  the Union territories of Jammu & Kashmir and Ladakh, even after the new arrangement comes into existence after the 31st of October, 2019. He denounced the mischievous rumours that, because J&K will become a Union Territory, the applicant will have to travel to Delhi to file an RTI.

Following a detailed discussion on the issue with Central Information Commissioner of India, Sudhir Bhargava, Dr Jitendra Singh said certain vested elements continue to instigate different kinds of misgivings in the society, in a vain bid to  disrupt the courageous initiative by the Modi government.

As a matter of fact, Dr Jitendra Singh said, during the last five years, after Narendra Modi took over as Prime Minister, the procedures to file an RTI appeal have been immensely simplified and definite timelines have been laid down. This will apply equally as much to Jammu & Kashmir and Ladakh after these become Union territories, he said. 

Giving details, Dr Jitendra Singh said, the first RTI application is made to the Public Information Officer (PIO) locally and in matters involving “life and liberty”, the time limit for the PIO to provide the information is 48 hours. For the PIO to reply to the application, timeline of 30 days has been laid down from the date of receipt of the application. For applicant to make first appeal after the receipt of PIO’s reply, the first Appellate authority  in the form of the designated officer will also be available locally, whether it is the State or Union territory.

Only in case of second appeal, Dr Jitendra Singh elaborated, the application has to be submitted to the Information Commission and even if the Information Commissioner is not available locally, in case of Union territory, the second appeal can be sent to the Central Information Commission on-line within 90 days from the receipt of the first appeal orders or from the date the orders were to be received.

To make the procedure much simpler, Dr Jitendra Singh said, we made use of the modern technology and in a major breakthrough, during the Modi government, provided the facility of making second appeal before the Central Information Commission through portal, which, in other words, means that an RTI applicant does not have to wait for the office hours and can file his appeal even from his mobile phone anytime during the day or night, at his convenience, and even while sitting at his home or anywhere else.

After the reorganization of Jammu & Kashmir and Ladakh, Dr Jitendra Singh said, contrary to some of the unsubstantiated misgivings being spread, the citizens’ participation will increase manifold and various provisions in public administration will become far more citizen-centric with the extension of uniformed central laws, as applicable in the rest of the country.

Can Imran Khan win the biggest match of his life?

Being the prime minister of a country like Pakistan is not easy even under the best of circumstances. It involves walking a tight rope in a situation where your decision making ability is severely restricted by a number of forces, mainly the all powerful Pakistan Army and close on its heels the very powerful Islamic fundamentalists and militant warlords. The tenuous administrative structure marred by endemic corruption does not provide any succour. A war prone neighbour like Afghanistan on one side and an economic giant like China on the other, ready to devour the country in its lust for money creates a massive diplomatic challenge. The self destructive tension with India, the only neighbour that actually bears no ill will against the country, draws on all energy that could be well utilised in other spheres that need more attention.

If you throw in this quagmire a brilliant cricketer and international playboy like Imran Khan, who took to politics as a means to fight his mid-life identity crisis and then propel him to the position of prime minister, it is quite obvious that nothing good will come out of it. Where very powerful families failed that have been in politics for generations, how would a political greenhorn succeed?

Even after becoming prime minister, Imran Khan is viewed as a novice in politics by the well entrenched political establishment of the country, he has failed to garner even minimum acceptance as a leader from the parliamentarians in Pakistan, let alone a universal recognition.

It is, therefore, no wonder that Imran Khan, within one year of becoming Prime Minister Pakistan finds himself in political wilderness with the proverbial “Sword of Damocles” hanging over his head. The talk of an ignominious ouster at the hands of the very Army that propelled him into the position is gaining momentum.

So where did Imran Khan go wrong? There are some issues not of his making and others in which he has erred. They all join together to create a cocktail of misgovernance, wrong decision making and lost opportunities.

On top of the list is the face-off with India which has come as a big jolt to the already rocking boat that Khan is sailing in. He had barely emerged from the embarrassment caused by the successful Balakot air strike by India when the reorganisation of the state of Jammu and Kashmir left Pakistan in doldrums. The all important “jugular vein” of Pakistan has been cut.

Imran Khan is least prepared or competent to deal with a political development of this magnitude. He has been doing blindly what his advisors and his boss, General Qamar Bajwa, have been telling him to do. Pakistan left no stone unturned to raise the issue with US President Donald Trump, UN Security Council, IOC, UNHRC and several countries, but all in vain. At the behest of the army, Imran gave a nuclear threat to India but ended up being mocked. The contradictions that have come up as a result of this haphazard diplomacy have exposed him as a blubbering fool rather than a strong leader.

The stunned Pakistan Army is feeling helpless due to complete absence of support from the Pakistani leadership on the government’s policy on Kashmir. Pak Army’s hierarchy is also upset over not getting help from any other country. The attempts to escalate the violence threshold in Kashmir by enhanced ceasefire violations and pushing of terrorists have also come to a naught. The violent reaction by local Kashmiris’ that could have given Pakistan the leverage to move international and domestic opinion has also not been forthcoming. The Pakistan Army is, quite naturally, on the lookout for a fall guy and Imran Khan tops the list. 

The very critical economic situation of the country comes next in his list of failures. In the last calculations released in July this year, the federal government’s debt in Pakistan has jumped up to Rs. 33 trillion with a net addition of Rs. 1.23 trillion in just one month. Milk is costlier than Petrol in Pakistan and other essentials like onions and tomatoes are becoming unaffordable even for the middle class, what to talk of the poor. Khan is following the well tested route of blaming India. He has gone on record to state that India is trying to bankrupt Pakistan and to push it on the blacklist of the Financial Action Task Force (FATF) and exert pressure from the International Monetary Fund (IMF). The people, however, are not ready to accept that India is the reason behind the sky rocketing prices.

Apart from the Punjab Province, and that too partially, all others provinces and people of the country are up in arms against the federal government. The situation is almost at the level of a civil war. Protests by Balochs, Pashtuns, Mohajirs, Gilgit-Baltistanis, Sindhis and all other communities are increasing by the day. The government is in paralysis, unable to even reach out to the people let alone assuage their feelings. The slogan of “Naya Pakistan” (new Pakistan) is now grovelling in the dust.

In the domain of foreign policy, under Imran Khan, Pakistan has been unable to give an assertive posture. It continues to have strained relations with all of its neighbours with the exception of China, the country that it should be most wary of. Bending to woo Saudi Arabia and the UAE over the past year in an attempt to stabilize the economy has brought little relief.

In Pakistan, its army has a complete say in choosing the country’s prime minister. Any prime minister facing revolt or protest is usually sidelined by Pakistan Army. It is no wonder that speculations are rife in the Pakistani media over the removal of Imran Khan and that too as early as October this year. The only way Imran Khan can face up to this challenge is by adopting an approach that looks more to internal issues than the external environment. He needs to shed his preoccupation with Kashmir and understand as to where his priorities should lie. It remains to be seen whether he is up to winning this biggest match of his life.