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Dharmendra Pradhan: India to become top energy consumer in 10-years

Minister of Petroleum and Natural Gas & Steel Dharmendra Pradhan has launched the commencement of work for 10th City Gas Distribution (CGD) bidding round which will cover 50 Geographical Areas (GAs) in 124 districts. Prime Minister Narendra Modi had launched the 10th CGD bidding Round on 22nd November, 2018.  Pradhan had distributed Letters of Intent to 12 successful bidders of the round on 1st March, 2019.  After the completion of the 10th round, over 70% of the country’s population and 52.73% of the area will be covered under the CGD. As per the minimum work program approved by the PNGRB for the 10th round, 2.02 crore PNG domestic connections will be provided, 3578 CNG stations will open, and 0.58 lakh Inch-km steel pipeline will be laid.

Speaking on the occasion, Pradhan said that with the 9th and 10th rounds, the country is making a giant leap in the CGD. He said that in last 5 years, the number of domestic PNG connections, CNG vehicles and CNG stations have more than doubled. He said that India is the 3rd largest energy consumer of the world, and will become top consumer in a decade. The government aims to provide reliable, affordable, sustainable and universal access to clean fuel to all. The present share of gas in the energy mix in the country is 6.2% compared to 24% globally, and the aim is to increase share of natural gas to 15% by 2030. The Minister said that with rising consumption of energy in the country, the share of CNG will increase the most. He said that the country will continue to harness multiple sources of energy, including fossil fuels, renewables, EVs and gas. The hydrogen fuel driven vehicles have already been introduced in the national capital and several auto manufacturers have introduced new CNG models, the minister added. Even the coal will continue to have relevance, as Coal gasification plants are being set up. On the policy enablers to promote gas usage in India, he said that CGD has been granted ‘public Utility’ status.

The minister said that over 5 lakh crore rupees are being invested in gas infrastructure, which includes exploration, distribution, marketing, regasification, pipeline network laying, etc.  Domestic gas production was 32.87 billion cubic metre in 2018-19, and is likely to go up to 39.3 billion cubic metre in 2020-21. Present LNG terminal capacity of 38.8 MMTPA will be augmented to 52.5 MMTPA in next 3-4 years. Long term contracts have been signed for importing LNG, and its sources are being diversified. The gas grid presently is 16,788 km, and work is in progress for additional 14,788 km.

He said that suitable ambience is being created and bold policy decisions are being taken to ensure that country moves on the path of progress, import dependency comes down, and our farmers(Annadatta) become Urjadatta. On the issue of waste to energy, Pradhan said that ethanol blending in petrol has gone upto 6% from 1%, and we have to take it to 20%. Bio-diesel is being promoted so as Recycle Used Cooking Oil (RUCO). 2G ethanol plants are being set up to convert surplus foodgrains into fuel. Compressed Bio-gas is another field of development. Reiterating the Government’s commitment to meet the COP-21 targets, the Minister said that the country will leapfrog next year from BS-IV to BS-VI. He said that the issues concerning the setting up of Gas infrastructure are being sorted out in consultation with the state governments.  The Minister also stressed on conservation and efficiency aspects, saying that new PNG burners can save upto 40%, compared to retrofitted burners.

Arun Jaitley passes away at 66

Senior BJP leader and former finance minister Arun Jaitley passed away at the age of 66 on Saturday. A lawyer by profession, Arun Jaitley had been an important part of Narendra Modi’s cabinet during his first tenure as prime minister. He held the Finance and Defence portfolios, and often acted as the chief troubleshooter of the government. He did not contest the 2019 Lok Sabha elections because of his ill-health.

AIIMS issued a statement on Arun Jaitley’s death. As per the statement, “It is with profound grief that we inform about the sad demise of Shri Arun Jaitley, Hon’ble Member of Parliament and former Finance Minister Government of India at 12:07 pm on August 24, 2019. Arun Jaitley was admitted in AIIMS, New Delhi on 09/08/2019 and was treated by a multidisciplinary team of senior Doctors.”

Jaitely was admitted to AIIMS following complaints of breathlessness and restlessness. He was shifted to the Intensive Care Unit at the All India Institute of Medical Science on August 9 and had been declared haemodynamically stable. A hemodynamically stable patient has a stable heart pump and good blood circulation. The authorities at AIIMS did not issue any bulletin on Jaitley’s health condition since August 9.

Jaitely was not keeping well for quite some time. He had undergone renal transplant on May 14 last year with Piyush Goyal filling in for him in the finance ministry at the time. Jaitley, who had stopped attending office since early April 2018, was back in the finance ministry on August 23, 2018. Earliers, in September 2014, he underwent bariatric surgery to correct the weight he had gained because of a long-standing diabetic condition.

Jaitley’s demise, after the death of ex-foreign minister Sushma Swaraj, has sent a shock wave in BJP.

Amir Khan’s daughter Ira to direct a theater production

Ira Khan, Aamir Khan’s daughter from his first wife Reena Dutta, is all set to take a big step in the entertainment industry. However, unlike her superstar father, Ira will not pursue acting, she will, in fact make her debut as a director of a theater production that is titled ‘Euripides Medea.’ T The showcase will premiere in December this year and will also be showcased across several cities pan India.

Though Ira hasn’t announced her association with the project formally. However, Bollywood trade analyst Taran Adarsh shared the news on social media and he wrote: “Ira Khan – daughter of Aamir Khan, to make her directorial debut with a theatre production titled Euripides Medea. Will be showcased in select Indian cities… Rehearsals for the play will start soon. Premieres December 2019.”

Ira Khan, for quite some time, kept a safe distance from showbiz. However, recently, she has been grabing headlines, be it for her bold photoshoots or her cosy picture with boyfriend Mishaal Kirpalani. It was only a few months ago in June this year when Ira confirmed her relationship with Mishaal and it became the talk of the town. Reportedly, Mishaal is a music composer and the two have been dating for quite some time now.

First World Youth Conference on Kindness held in New Delhi

The first World Youth Conference on Kindness was recently organised by the UNESCO Mahatma Gandhi Institute of Education for Peace and Sustainable Development and Ministry of Human Resource Development on the theme ‘Vasudhaiva Kutumbakam: Gandhi for the Contemporary World: Celebrating the 150th birth anniversary of Mahatma Gandhi’ and was held at the Vigyan Bhavan in New Delhi. The conference saw participation from approximately 1,000 youth representing over 27 countries such as Asia, Africa, Latin America, and Europe.

The President of the Republic of India, Ram Nath Kovind inaugurated the Conference. Union Human Resource Development Minister Ramesh Pokhriyal ‘Nishank’ also graced the occasion.

This conference was organised with the aim to impart critical competencies (i.e. empathy, compassion, mindfulness and critical inquiry) in global youth to inspire, empower and enable them to transform themselves and build long-lasting peace in their communities. Inspired by Mahatma Gandhi, the conference aimed to provide global youth and policymakers an innovative, engaging and inspiring platform to come together and strive to discover ground-breaking pathways to achieve the United Nations’ Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs).

Addressing the gathering, the President said that Mahatma Gandhi was not just a great leader and visionary, he was one who personified certain timeless ideals and values. We could place Gandhiji in a time machine and transport him to any period of human existence and we would find him to be relevant. This is also true of the times we live in. Gandhiji remains extremely relevant to our present day concerns such as need for peace and tolerance, terrorism and climate change.

The President said that the strife and violence that we see in the world today is often based in deep-rooted prejudices. These make us see the world through the binary of “us versus them”. Following Gandhiji’s footsteps, we must let ourselves and our children interact and engage with those whom we tend to define as ‘them’. Greater interaction is the best way to develop a sensitive understanding, which can help us overcome our prejudices.

Triple Talaq: SC issues notice to Centre on plea against new law by Salman Khurshid

The Supreme Court has agreed to examine the validity of a newly enacted law which makes the practice of instant divorce through triple talaq among Muslims a punishable offence entailing imprisonment of up to three years.

A bench of justices N V Ramana and Ajay Rastogi issued notice the Centre on a batch of petitions which has sought to declare The Muslim Women (Protection of Rights on Marriage) Act 2019 as “unconstitutional” on grounds that it allegedly violates the provisions of the Constitution.

“We will examine this,” the bench told senior advocate Salman Khurshid, who was appearing for one of the petitioners.

Khurshid told the bench that there were many dimensions, including making the practice a punishable offence and jail term of up to three years, which was required to be examined by the top court.

Terror watchdog FATF puts Pakistan on ‘enhanced blacklist’

The Asia Pacific arm of FATF (Financial Action Task Force) – global watchdog for terror financing and money laundering, has put Pakistan in the “Enhanced Expedited Follow Up List” for the country’s failure to meet its prescribed norms. This is just one step short of Islamabad being put on the Black List by FATF. This step is a big blow to Prime Minister Imran Khan and Pakistan Army brass who have been intensely lobbying in international diplomatic circles to convince that the nation has taken steps to curb Islamic terrorism flourishing in its soil.

The FATF’s Asia Pacific Group was not convinced by Islamabad’s efforts and found that Pakistan was non-compliant on 32 of the 40 compliance parameters of terror financing and money laundering. The FATF APG meeting was held in Canberra, Australia and the discussions lasted over seven hours over two days.

“Asia Pacific Group of the FATF has placed Pakistan in the Enhanced Expedited Follow Up List (Black List) for their failure to meet the required norms,” said an Indian official who is privy to the developments.

On 11 effectiveness parameters of terror financing and money laundering, Pakistan was adjudged as low on 10. The official said despite its efforts, Pakistan could not convince the 41-member plenary to upgrade it on any parameter.

Pakistan will now have to take credible steps against Islamic terror groups operating from its soil to avoid being put on the FATF Black List in October, when the 15-month timeline ends on the FATF’s 27-point action plan. FATF’s black list would make it almost impossible for Pakistan to get monetary aid or funds from foreign donors. The country’s already devastated economy is expected to go into a tailspin of collapse if this happens.

Marriage has irretrievably broken down: Zambian govt. toughens stand on Vedanta KCM issue

Despite taking up the matter at the highest levels, during the recent visit of Zambian President Edgar Lungu’s visit, and even India backing Vedanta group, it seems the issue of KCM between Zambian government and Anil Agarwal’s Vedanta group has not find a way out.

Zambian Mines and Minerals Development Minister Richard Musukwa, speaking on the sidelines of the 3-day state visit, said that Vedanta has extensively lost the social licence to operate in communities such as Chililabombwe and Chingola adding that the ‘marriage has irretrievably broken down’.

Mining tycoon Anil Agarwal’s Vedanta group has been doing rounds of reconciliatory meetings with Zambian government at various levels, as it is on the verge of losing the highly profitable Konkola Copper Mines (KCM), for allegedly defaulting on tax payments and violating operational licence. Zambia is Africa’s second biggest copper-producing country after Democratic Republic of Congo.

Earlier, in a statement ahead of President Lungu’s visit, Vedanta had said that its relationship with Zambia is a long-standing one, reinforcing the mutually supportive relationship between India and Zambia. Vedanta’s Chairman Anil Agarwal’s message to President Lungu during his visit was “Vedanta welcomes you to India, and thanks you for your leadership and direction as our teams work together to resolve the KCM matter.”

“I want to express my deep and humble appreciation to you, Your Excellency, for the manner in which you were willing to engage with us in Lusaka last week,” Agarwal said. He added ,”Your leadership and stature meant that we should be on track to resolve KCM’s future in a way that will benefit Zambia and the Zambian people.”

For quite some time, Anil Agarwal’s Vedanta group is trying to save their business by trying to enter into reconciliation with the government. However, the Zambian government has kept a tough stand for quite some time. Just a few months back President Edgar Lungu had said that the government is resolved and determined to part ways with Vedanta group of companies who are currently running Konkola Copper Mines (KCM). “Zambians wanted Vedanta out of the Copperbelt, out of this country. The Zambians people have decided that they want a responsible investor,” President had said during his visit to Ndola.

Meanwhile, Indian government continues to put its weight behind Vedanta. Recently, during the State Visit of Lungu, V. Muraleedharan, Minister of State for External Affairs, hoped that the stand-off between the Zambian Government and Vedanta will be resolved soon.

However, it seems the Zambian government has further toughened its stand on the issue. Mines and Minerals Development Minister Richard Musukwa said that Zambian government has reiterated that the debacle about Konkola Copper Mines (KCM) is a subject of the court process. “As a government of laws we are inclined to allow the due process of the law to take its course.” He however says Government is willing to listen to any progressive talks that structures a user friendly exit mode for Vedanta.

Musukwa said the decision to liquidate KCM was premised on securing the company from total collapse and protecting the jobs of the people because Vedanta had in principle walked away owing to the negligence as evidenced by its inability to exploit and develop its primary sources of its ore materials and payment of contractors and suppliers and other obligations.

The Cabinet Minister said government is determined once the court processes are concluded to urgently secure a credible investor in an open and transparent manner. “A new investor should have the capacity to inject fresh capital to operationalise the KDMP project and both underground and upper orebody resources which are believed to have huge life line which will in turn provide job security.” He added, “The investors should lead to the transformation of the host communities in terms of infrastructure such as roads, health and education.”

Chidambaram: After meteoric rise, the steep fall

It was nothing short of a blockbuster thriller– cops and enforcement agencies with arrest warrant frantically looking out for Congress leader and former Union Minister Palaniappan Chidambaram, who was “missing” for about 24 hours. Suddenly, Chidambaram—faced with money laundering and corruption charges– decided to appear at the Congress headquarters on Wednesday evening and addresses a press conference barely a couple of hours before he was arrested. 

At the widely watched press conference, the 73 year old lawyer-turned-politician appeared comfortable and composed exchanging pleasantries with his colleagues.

This is no surprise to people who know him well. A simple analysis of the sequence of events will tell that even as the focus remained on the Central Bureau of Investigation (CBI), it was Chidambaram who managed to hog the limelight with the press conference.

In his signature style, he asked the enforcement agencies to respect the law and wait for the Supreme Court hearing.

“If I am asked to choose between life and liberty, I will unhesitatingly choose liberty,” Chidambaram, who denied all charges against him, said at the presser. Now, anybody who has been in the news business would know that this statement of his will hit the headlines.

Chidambaram did not take any questions from media people. If he had to skirt questions from the media, then why have a press conference!
But then that is the trademark of Chidambaram. 

Congress leader P Chidambaram (centre) addressing a press conference along with party leaders Kapil Sibal (right) and Abhishek Singhvi (left) at Congress headquarters in New Delhi on Wednesday, August 21, 2019. Almost an hour after this presser, Chidambaram was arrested by the CBI from his Jor Bagh residence. (Photo:PTI)

The man, who is known for his arrogance, strong likes and dislikes always had a love-hate relation with the media. He remained a union minister for full 10 years in the UPA-I and UPA-II governments and use the media to the fullest. He regularly held press conferences and met reporters –whether or not he shared any piece of information.

The rise of Chidambaram

The erudite Chidambaram, armed with a degree in law and an MBA from the Harvard Business School, joined the Congress party in 1984. While he was associated with several ministries including that of commerce and industry mostly as junior minister till mid-1990s, it was in 1997 that he made his mark with his “dream budget”. Interestingly, Chidambaram, at this point had quit the Congress to join Tamil Maanila Congress—breakaway faction of the state Congress unit. He was given the plum portfolio of finance by the then Prime Minister Deve Gowda, who was leading a fragile United Front government at that time.

Chidambaram brought in bold reforms and drastically reduced personal and corporate tax rates. However, soon the government fell and he joined back the Congress party.

Even as many of his colleagues from the United Front government saw the end of their political careers, Chidambaram kept himself widely alive in the newsrooms and even wrote a weekly column for the Indian Express. As finance and home minister, he regularly held media briefings. Not just that, he off and on invited journalists for meals. In fact, his Pongal parties were a big hit among journalists.

In 2004, the Manmohan Singh led UPA government took centre stage and there was no looking back for Chidambaram, who is known for his proximity to Singh. In 2004, he once again assumed charge as India’s finance minister. But this time the road was bumpy for finance minister Chidambaram. Many of his proposals were shot down by the Left parties, which were in coalition with the Congress.

Despite that, Chidambaram won the trust of his bosses and was considered one of the performing ministers. In fact, it was his brainchild to carve out a Rs 70,000 crore farm debt waiver scheme to woo the farmers especially at a time when they were in absolute distress.

While the move was fiercely criticised by economists and policymakers, it played a huge role in helping UPA win the subsequent 2009 Lok Sabha elections. 

The down slide begins for Chidambaram

In November 2008, Chidambaram was shifted to the home ministry. At home, many say, he was never comfortable. There were several security lapses and in 2011 the three co-ordinated bomb explosions ripped Mumbai within three years of the 26/11 terror attacks.

In August 2012, Chidambaram shifted back to the North Block. Many felt that his primary role was to once again carve out schemes which could help the Congress in the 2014 Lok Sabha elections. But the man had lost his mojo by then. He had used up all his tricks to woo the masses and moreover, people had begun to see through his trickery. Congress party decisively lost the 2014 General Elections and Narendra Modi took the reins of the country.

It was thence that Chidambaram’s misdeeds that lay buried in dusty files came into the limelight. One of these was about the misappropriation of funds in INX Media. Narendra Modi who came on the mandate to fight corruption was in no mood to brush this under the carpet. A shrewd lawyer that he is Chidambaram continued to dodge the CBI during Modi’s first term. His luck ran out when Narendra Modi returned back with a bigger mandate for a second term. CBI and Enforcement Directorate (ED) issued a Look-Out notice for Chidambaram and arrested him after high drama on Wednesday night. CBI and ED continue to grill their former boss and are preparing to take Chidambaram on a remand for fourteen days as he continues to evade their questions.

Modern Environmental Concerns Under Bolsonaro: Deforestation in the Amazon highlights autocratic traits in Brazil’s president

By Pamela Machado and Scott Douglas Jacobsen

Developments of autocratic governmental tendencies emerge from the deleterious effects of nationalism bolstered around prejudice, bigotry, hatred, suspicion amplified by anxiety, conspiracy theories, denialism of fundamental concepts of science, rejection of facts, and the celebration of a powerful figure in a strongman, applicable to men or women but, mostly seen in men as demagogues provoking the worst sentiments in the population. There are few leaders in the world nowadays that could represent this idea more accurately than Brazil’s President Jair Bolsonaro.

The election of Jair Bolsonaro into the presidency of Brazil created a new era in the political landscape for Brazilian citizens with the alignment of Evangelical Christian fundamentalism and strongman negative populism. The autocratic tone in Bolsonaro’s government is no longer a surprise for those worrying about the waning status of democracy around the world, and of civil liberties internationally. Since taking office in January of 2019, the Brazilian president has made tens of international headlines starring his homophobic rhetoric, lack of diplomacy, poor social media etiquette, and disastrous handling of environmental degradation, amongst some of a litany of faux pas moments and real political scandals.

Week after week, Brazil’s president has shown signs pointing to a tyranny being instituted in Brazil under his rule. The latest recurrences involve the Amazon, with the international community funding the Amazon removing financial support because of the deforestation ongoing within the country, including by Norway and Germany. In response, Bolsonaro said, as a childish tease helpful in ascertaining his character, “Isn’t Norway that country that kills whales up there in the north pole?… Take that money and help Angela Merkel reforest Germany.” Bolsonaro shows no intention to take on criticism from the international community and scientists, and then act to curb deforestation. 

As a matter of fact, Bolsonaro has strong allies in Brazil pushing him to disregard environmental discussion as a ‘conspiracy from the left’ and ‘fake news’. One of the strongest lobbyists in Bolsonaro’s government is indeed the agribusiness sector, which is among the most powerful industries in South America. The agribusiness model, which leaves soils impoverished and lands devastated, is at the opposite side of environmentalism and indigenous land advocacy; and Bolsonaro’s intentions are to open the Amazon for agribusiness lords. Conservation of the Amazon is one of the key aspects in establishing international alliances, especially with countries in the European Union, where the green influence has grown in the political realm since the last EU elections last May. Bolsonaro’s stance can only lead to Brazil’s isolation in a global scenario in times when cooperation is a fundamental virtue to avoid a global ecological collapse.  

Bolsonaro has caused outrage after sacking the director of Brazil’s National Space Research Institute (INPE) at the beginning of the month. Ricardo Galvão, the previous director of INPE, had called out Bolsonaro’s government on skyrocketing deforestation in the Amazon after data showed that deforestation was 88% higher in June compared to a year ago. To compound this, Bolsonaro is a major climate change denier and sees the science of climate change as a Marxist plot. He claimed INPE’s latest report is lying and the methodology of the study is not trustworthy, even as the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change continues in its Sixth Assessment Cycle. Bolsonaro and his coterie have a history of climate change denial, not even skepticism. He was clear about destroying the Indigenous environments and the ties between them. Bolsonaro is not informed or does not want to believe the realities and seriousness of the climate crisis facing us, where he proposes citizens, not himself, eat less and defecate every other day in order to help the climate while working to destroy the environment. Citizens should become active and involved in the political process, as they have become increasingly active and involved in the political process based on these atrocious attitudes, statements, and opinions on science.

Also, he made clear the intent, if elected, to leave the Paris Climate Agreement from 2015, mimicking US President Donald Trump. Ed Atkins, from the University of Bristol, has stated that leaving the Paris Agreement is not really in the hands of Bolsonaro: “Ultimately, his power to reverse the decision is limited, however. This is because the Paris deal was approved via the Brazilian congress, which is currently divided between 30 parties, and Bolsonaro would face the tricky task of convincing a broad church of conservatives.” However, Bolsonaro seems to care little about the rules of democracy and the institutions he should respect. 

If only environmental concerns were the only thing to worry about – but the president’s latest scandal about the Amazon are only another indicator of the autocratic turn taking place in Brazil. 

Bolsonaro is surely familiar with fake news tactics that undermine the strength of democracy: this is his strongest weapon to keep his electorate faithfully supportive as the economy continues to wade in Brazil leaving almost 14 million unemployed, worsening criminality or increasing the number of “cockroaches” in his opining, and quality of life – among other atrocities such as censoring LGBTI+ films and cutting funding to federal universities. 

The far-right president is progressively turning himself into an authoritarian force in Latin America’s major country – and he is quite proud to be so. The stance of dehumanization against one’s own most vulnerable citizens simply shows to the public in glaring and gory detail an arrogance fit for authoritarian rule. 

Bolsonaro has a long-lasting and widely reported passion with authoritarian leaders in South America. Like attracts like, one may assume here. He also has an open disgust to democracy and state institutions: “My pen is mightier than yours,” he told the lower house Speaker Rodrigo Maia earlier this year, implying that congressmen are not as powerful as him.

At a worrying speed, Bolsonaro takes steps closer in his vision to turn Brazil into a country where those who appreciate diversity and show respect to nature have no voice. Brazilian democratic institutions, where corruption is deeply ingrained, seem to get weaker by the hour and there is dooming scenario about the next three years until the next election is held make it looks like an obscure endless era.

This political cascade of anti-democratic leaders and forces contains racial elements to it. According to the latest data available, Brazil’s population is mostly non-white. The portion of Brazilian identifying themselves as whites fell from 53.7% in 2000 to 47.7% in 2010, when the latest statistic was released. Issues of self-identification or self-report in the collection of the data aside; the result is collective actions taking place all over Brazil to educate about ethnicities and gender rather than an actual decrease in the number of white people, as seen in the number of mixed-race which rose from 38.5% to 43.1%. Thanks to open conversations about racial questions and structural racism, a larger number of Brazilians have become more literate on identity politics and the issues following from them.

Bolsonaro’s contempt towards mixed-raced and non-white communities is escalating. Even more explicit comes from the majoritarian authoritarianism of the statements, Bolsonaro, in 2017, said, “Minorities have to bend down to the majority… The minorities [should] either adapt or simply vanish.” The rhetoric of dehumanization creates the basis for autocratic and tyrannical orientation leading to an easy denial of civil liberties for minorities and other, typically, vulnerable populations within Brazil. The demagoguery around denial of the real world, of living in a fantasy concocted of delusions of mass and widespread conspiracy theories, forms the basis for decoupling popular discourse from facts, common Brazilian values and shared identity, and democratic orientation of the government. There needs to be rapid damage control and broad activism to begin to solve the problems created, the fires started, by the Brazilian president and his coterie.

Photo by Alexandre Perotto on Unsplash

It’s time for ‘Kashmir Experts’ to take a back seat

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The situation in Jammu and Kashmir has been more or less stable ever since the legislative process for reorganisation of the state and necessary amendments to Article 370 has been approved by an overwhelming majority in the Indian Parliament.

No untoward incidents of violence have been reported in the state. The Eid celebrations went off in a peaceful manner and people are slowly returning to their routine. The security forces, while keeping an Eagle’s eye, are facilitating this movement in a very cooperative and courteous manner. Government offices and primary schools have been opened, but attendance is low. Landline facility has been restored. Kashmir has seen much worse earlier in terms of disruption, disturbance and disorder. It can therefore be said that the situation is tense but very much in control.

Pakistan has said and done what it had to say and could do. After the initial bluster exhibited by Prime Minister Imran Khan and the drama orchestrated with a few friends in the United Nations Security Council (UNSC) that fell flat, the country now stands without option. It has some support from China and surprisingly also from the United Kingdom, but the same is insufficient to make a diplomatic impact. The country’s leadership has realised that there is not much that it can do and that it needs to concentrate on its own precarious internal situation which has the potential of spiralling out of control should it poke its face too much into Kashmir. It is therefore giving lip service to the so-called support and attempting to instigate the people of the state to agitate.

Pakistan will love to see the locals of Kashmir reacting forcefully with what it terms as “Intifada.” While the Kashmiris’ will be egged on to the self destructive path, Pakistan will give only “moral support.” So, what can be expected is a massive religion-based psychological campaign by Pakistan to incite the people of Kashmir to come out in open revolt. It will be driven by the social media and supported by the many assets that Pakistan has nurtured in the valley and in its own land. Already the leaders of Pakistan-based terrorist groups are circulating audio, video and text messages in social media groups in which they are inciting the people.

While things in the state and at international level are well in control, sadly, there is a lot of excitement in some circles within the country and outside of the state to see some modicum of disruption and instability coming up. Journalists, analysts, writers, authors, columnists and those who have a self-view of being opinion makers, all have become experts on Kashmir of late. Volumes are being written on the subject, views are being expressed, advise rendered and predictions made. It is being said that the Kashmiri people are ready to strike as soon as the limitations are removed. Lifting of the restrictions, therefore, is being awaited with a bated breath as the harbinger of Hartals (Strikes), Bandhs (Lockouts) and stone pelting towards which end the hapless Kashmiris are being psychologically manoeuvred by forces from outside the country and also from within. The many elements out to ignite the situation have vested political and financial reasons to do so. Once things open up, these elements will actively engineer protests and disruption. The government is, quite rightly, unwilling to allow such a situation to develop which could lead to avoidable casualty to innocent civilians; hence, it is quite content to play the waiting game.

It has been firmly said by the Indian government that the changes made are an internal issue of the country and most nations have accepted this. They are maintaining a discreet distance. A similar courtesy from our local “experts” would not be out of place. It does not behove them to take ownership and decide for the people of Jammu and Kashmir. In Jammu and Kashmir there are so many regions and so many communities, each one of them will be affected in a different manner and will have to work out its own adjustments.  It is very important to give to the people of Jammu and Kashmir adequate time and space to absorb the changes that have taken place and work out their response to the same.

Let us keep away from polarising the narrative, let us stop building a doomsday scenario. There is no apocalypse taking place in the region that calls for such stringent action from the self appointed guardians of the Kashmiri people as is being witnessed presently.

The Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) has never deviated from its policy of abrogating Article 370 and Article 35A. Yet, the party got a sizeable success over a series of elections for local and parliamentary bodies in Jammu and Kashmir over the last five years plus. The party also won with an overwhelming mandate in the last two general elections. Surely, it was known that it would make good its policy and promise whenever the opportunity came its way; so, why this sudden show of horror and disgust over something that was bound to happen?

Let us get real, most parties were good with abrogation of Article 370 but were not ready to bell the cat. Now that the BJP has done it, they should at least show the courtesy of staying quiet instead of crying themselves hoarse for petty political considerations. The beauty is the legislations have not been removed, legal remedies have been resorted to make them redundant, yet there is a problem.

It is very important to give to the people of Jammu and Kashmir adequate time and space to absorb the changes that have taken place and work out their response to the same. It would be best for all those who are not directly affected to take a back seat and allow those affected to decide on their future course? Let us join hands to give peace a chance.