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The Fourth Law (of Robotics)

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By: Dr. Sam Vaknin

The movie “I, Robot” is a muddled affair. It relies on shoddy pseudo-science and a general sense of unease that artificial (non-carbon based) intelligent life forms seem to provoke in us. But it goes no deeper than a comic book treatment of the important themes that it broaches. I, Robot is just another – and relatively inferior – entry is a long line of far better movies, such as “Blade Runner” and “Artificial Intelligence”.

Sigmund Freud said that we have an uncanny reaction to the inanimate. This is probably because we know that – pretensions and layers of philosophizing aside – we are nothing but recursive, self aware, introspective, conscious machines. Special machines, no doubt, but machines all the same.

Consider the James bond movies. They constitute a decades-spanning gallery of human paranoia. Villains change: communists, neo-Nazis, media moguls. But one kind of villain is a fixture in this psychodrama, in this parade of human phobias: the machine. James Bond always finds himself confronted with hideous, vicious, malicious machines and automata.

It was precisely to counter this wave of unease, even terror, irrational but all-pervasive, that Isaac Asimov, the late Sci-fi writer (and scientist) invented the Three Laws of Robotics:

  1. A robot may not injure a human being or, through inaction, allow a human being to come to harm.
  2. A robot must obey the orders given it by human beings, except where such orders would conflict with the First Law.
  3. A robot must protect its own existence as long as such protection does not conflict with the First or Second Laws.

Many have noticed the lack of consistency and, therefore, the inapplicability of these laws when considered together.

First, they are not derived from any coherent worldview or background. To be properly implemented and to avoid their interpretation in a potentially dangerous manner, the robots in which they are embedded must be equipped with reasonably comprehensive models of the physical universe and of human society.

Without such contexts, these laws soon lead to intractable paradoxes (experienced as a nervous breakdown by one of Asimov’s robots). Conflicts are ruinous in automata based on recursive functions (Turing machines), as all robots are. Godel pointed at one such self destructive paradox in the “Principia Mathematica”, ostensibly a comprehensive and self consistent logical system. It was enough to discredit the whole magnificent edifice constructed by Russel and Whitehead over a decade.

Some argue against this and say that robots need not be automata in the classical, Church-Turing, sense. That they could act according to heuristic, probabilistic rules of decision making. There are many other types of functions (non-recursive) that can be incorporated in a robot, they remind us.

True, but then, how can one guarantee that the robot’s behavior is fully predictable ? How can one be certain that robots will fully and always implement the three laws? Only recursive systems are predictable in principle, though, at times, their complexity makes it impossible.

This article deals with some commonsense, basic problems raised by the Laws. The next article in this series analyses the Laws from a few vantage points: philosophy, artificial intelligence and some systems theories.

An immediate question springs to mind: HOW will a robot identify a human being? Surely, in a future of perfect androids, constructed of organic materials, no superficial, outer scanning will suffice. Structure and composition will not be sufficient differentiating factors.

There are two ways to settle this very practical issue: one is to endow the robot with the ability to conduct a Converse Turing Test (to separate humans from other life forms) – the other is to somehow “barcode” all the robots by implanting some remotely readable signaling device inside them (such as a RFID – Radio Frequency ID chip). Both present additional difficulties.

The second solution will prevent the robot from positively identifying humans. He will be able identify with any certainty robots and only robots (or humans with such implants). This is ignoring, for discussion’s sake, defects in manufacturing or loss of the implanted identification tags. And what if a robot were to get rid of its tag? Will this also be classified as a “defect in manufacturing”?

In any case, robots will be forced to make a binary choice. They will be compelled to classify one type of physical entities as robots – and all the others as “non-robots”. Will non-robots include monkeys and parrots? Yes, unless the manufacturers equip the robots with digital or optical or molecular representations of the human figure (masculine and feminine) in varying positions (standing, sitting, lying down). Or unless all humans are somehow tagged from birth.

These are cumbersome and repulsive solutions and not very effective ones. No dictionary of human forms and positions is likely to be complete. There will always be the odd physical posture which the robot would find impossible to match to its library. A human disk thrower or swimmer may easily be classified as “non-human” by a robot – and so might amputated invalids.

What about administering a converse Turing Test?

This is even more seriously flawed. It is possible to design a test, which robots will apply to distinguish artificial life forms from humans. But it will have to be non-intrusive and not involve overt and prolonged communication. The alternative is a protracted teletype session, with the human concealed behind a curtain, after which the robot will issue its verdict: the respondent is a human or a robot. This is unthinkable.

Moreover, the application of such a test will “humanize” the robot in many important respects. Human identify other humans because they are human, too. This is called empathy. A robot will have to be somewhat human to recognize another human being, it takes one to know one, the saying (rightly) goes.

Let us assume that by some miraculous way the problem is overcome and robots unfailingly identify humans. The next question pertains to the notion of “injury” (still in the First Law). Is it limited only to physical injury (the elimination of the physical continuity of human tissues or of the normal functioning of the human body)?

Should “injury” in the First Law encompass the no less serious mental, verbal and social injuries (after all, they are all known to have physical side effects which are, at times, no less severe than direct physical “injuries”)? Is an insult an “injury”? What about being grossly impolite, or psychologically abusive? Or offending religious sensitivities, being politically incorrect – are these injuries? The bulk of human (and, therefore, inhuman) actions actually offend one human being or another, have the potential to do so, or seem to be doing so.

Consider surgery, driving a car, or investing money in the stock exchange. These “innocuous” acts may end in a coma, an accident, or ruinous financial losses, respectively. Should a robot refuse to obey human instructions which may result in injury to the instruction-givers?

Consider a mountain climber – should a robot refuse to hand him his equipment lest he falls off a cliff in an unsuccessful bid to reach the peak? Should a robot refuse to obey human commands pertaining to the crossing of busy roads or to driving (dangerous) sports cars?

Which level of risk should trigger robotic refusal and even prophylactic intervention? At which stage of the interactive man-machine collaboration should it be activated? Should a robot refuse to fetch a ladder or a rope to someone who intends to commit suicide by hanging himself (that’s an easy one)?

Should he ignore an instruction to push his master off a cliff (definitely), help him climb the cliff (less assuredly so), drive him to the cliff (maybe so), help him get into his car in order to drive him to the cliff… Where do the responsibility and obeisance bucks stop?

Whatever the answer, one thing is clear: such a robot must be equipped with more than a rudimentary sense of judgment, with the ability to appraise and analyse complex situations, to predict the future and to base his decisions on very fuzzy algorithms (no programmer can foresee all possible circumstances). To me, such a “robot” sounds much more dangerous (and humanoid) than any recursive automaton which does NOT include the famous Three Laws.

Moreover, what, exactly, constitutes “inaction”? How can we set apart inaction from failed action or, worse, from an action which failed by design, intentionally? If a human is in danger and the robot tries to save him and fails – how could we determine to what extent it exerted itself and did everything it could?

How much of the responsibility for a robot’s inaction or partial action or failed action should be imputed to the manufacturer – and how much to the robot itself? When a robot decides finally to ignore its own programming – how are we to gain information regarding this momentous event? Outside appearances can hardly be expected to help us distinguish a rebellious robot from a lackadaisical one.

The situation gets much more complicated when we consider states of conflict.

Imagine that a robot is obliged to harm one human in order to prevent him from hurting another. The Laws are absolutely inadequate in this case. The robot should either establish an empirical hierarchy of injuries – or an empirical hierarchy of humans. Should we, as humans, rely on robots or on their manufacturers (however wise, moral and compassionate) to make this selection for us? Should we abide by their judgment which injury is the more serious and warrants an intervention?

A summary of the Asimov Laws would give us the following “truth table”:

A robot must obey human commands except if:

  1. Obeying them is likely to cause injury to a human, or
  2. Obeying them will let a human be injured.

A robot must protect its own existence with three exceptions:

  1. That such self-protection is injurious to a human;
  2. That such self-protection entails inaction in the face of potential injury to a human;
  3. That such self-protection results in robot insubordination (failing to obey human instructions).

Trying to create a truth table based on these conditions is the best way to demonstrate the problematic nature of Asimov’s idealized yet highly impractical world.

Here is an exercise:

Imagine a situation (consider the example below or one you make up) and then create a truth table based on the above five conditions. In such a truth table, “T” would stand for “compliance” and “F” for non-compliance.

Example:

A radioactivity monitoring robot malfunctions. If it self-destructs, its human operator might be injured. If it does not, its malfunction will equally seriously injure a patient dependent on his performance.

One of the possible solutions is, of course, to introduce gradations, a probability calculus, or a utility calculus. As they are phrased by Asimov, the rules and conditions are of a threshold, yes or no, take it or leave it nature. But if robots were to be instructed to maximize overall utility, many borderline cases would be resolved.

Still, even the introduction of heuristics, probability, and utility does not help us resolve the dilemma in the example above. Life is about inventing new rules on the fly, as we go, and as we encounter new challenges in a kaleidoscopically metamorphosing world. Robots with rigid instruction sets are ill suited to cope with that.

Note – Godel’s Theorems

The work of an important, though eccentric, Czech-Austrian mathematical logician, Kurt Gödel (1906-1978) dealt with the completeness and consistency of logical systems. A passing acquaintance with his two theorems would have saved the architect a lot of time.

Gödel’s First Incompleteness Theorem states that every consistent axiomatic logical system, sufficient to express arithmetic, contains true but unprovable (“not decidable”) sentences. In certain cases (when the system is omega-consistent), both said sentences and their negation are unprovable. The system is consistent and true – but not “complete” because not all its sentences can be decided as true or false by either being proved or by being refuted.

The Second Incompleteness Theorem is even more earth-shattering. It says that no consistent formal logical system can prove its own consistency. The system may be complete – but then we are unable to show, using its axioms and inference laws, that it is consistent

In other words, a computational system can either be complete and inconsistent – or consistent and incomplete. By trying to construct a system both complete and consistent, a robotics engineer would run afoul of Gödel’s theorem.

Note – Turing Machines

In 1936 an American (Alonzo Church) and a Briton (Alan M. Turing) published independently (as is often the case in science) the basics of a new branch in Mathematics (and logic): computability or recursive functions (later to be developed into Automata Theory).

The authors confined themselves to dealing with computations which involved “effective” or “mechanical” methods for finding results (which could also be expressed as solutions (values) to formulae). These methods were so called because they could, in principle, be performed by simple machines (or human-computers or human-calculators, to use Turing’s unfortunate phrases). The emphasis was on finiteness: a finite number of instructions, a finite number of symbols in each instruction, a finite number of steps to the result. This is why these methods were usable by humans without the aid of an apparatus (with the exception of pencil and paper as memory aids). Moreover: no insight or ingenuity were allowed to “interfere” or to be part of the solution seeking process.

What Church and Turing did was to construct a set of all the functions whose values could be obtained by applying effective or mechanical calculation methods. Turing went further down Church’s road and designed the “Turing Machine” – a machine which can calculate the values of all the functions whose values can be found using effective or mechanical methods. Thus, the program running the TM (=Turing Machine in the rest of this text) was really an effective or mechanical method. For the initiated readers: Church solved the decision-problem for propositional calculus and Turing proved that there is no solution to the decision problem relating to the predicate calculus. Put more simply, it is possible to “prove” the truth value (or the theorem status) of an expression in the propositional calculus – but not in the predicate calculus. Later it was shown that many functions (even in number theory itself) were not recursive, meaning that they could not be solved by a Turing Machine.

No one succeeded to prove that a function must be recursive in order to be effectively calculable. This is (as Post noted) a “working hypothesis” supported by overwhelming evidence. We don’t know of any effectively calculable function which is not recursive, by designing new TMs from existing ones we can obtain new effectively calculable functions from existing ones and TM computability stars in every attempt to understand effective calculability (or these attempts are reducible or equivalent to TM computable functions).

The Turing Machine itself, though abstract, has many “real world” features. It is a blueprint for a computing device with one “ideal” exception: its unbounded memory (the tape is infinite). Despite its hardware appearance (a read/write head which scans a two-dimensional tape inscribed with ones and zeroes, etc.) – it is really a software application, in today’s terminology. It carries out instructions, reads and writes, counts and so on. It is an automaton designed to implement an effective or mechanical method of solving functions (determining the truth value of propositions). If the transition from input to output is deterministic we have a classical automaton – if it is determined by a table of probabilities – we have a probabilistic automaton.

With time and hype, the limitations of TMs were forgotten. No one can say that the Mind is a TM because no one can prove that it is engaged in solving only recursive functions. We can say that TMs can do whatever digital computers are doing – but not that digital computers are TMs by definition. Maybe they are – maybe they are not. We do not know enough about them and about their future.

Moreover, the demand that recursive functions be computable by an UNAIDED human seems to restrict possible equivalents. Inasmuch as computers emulate human computation (Turing did believe so when he helped construct the ACE, at the time the fastest computer in the world) – they are TMs. Functions whose values are calculated by AIDED humans with the contribution of a computer are still recursive. It is when humans are aided by other kinds of instruments that we have a problem. If we use measuring devices to determine the values of a function it does not seem to conform to the definition of a recursive function. So, we can generalize and say that functions whose values are calculated by an AIDED human could be recursive, depending on the apparatus used and on the lack of ingenuity or insight (the latter being, anyhow, a weak, non-rigorous requirement which cannot be formalized).

Author Bio

Sam Vaknin (http://samvak.tripod.com/mediakit.html) is the author of Malignant Self-love: Narcissism Revisited as well as many other books and ebooks about topics in psychology, relationships, philosophy, economics, international affairs, and award-winning short fiction.

He is former Visiting Professor of Psychology, Southern Federal University, Rostov-on-Don, Russia and Professor of Finance and Psychology in SIAS-CIAPS (Centre for International Advanced and Professional Studies).

He was the Editor-in-Chief of Global Politician and served as a columnist for Central Europe Review, PopMatters, eBookWeb , and Bellaonline, and as a United Press International (UPI) Senior Business Correspondent. He was the editor of mental health and Central East Europe categories in The Open Directory and Suite101. His YouTube channels garnered 20,000,000 views and 85,000 subscribers.

Visit Sam’s Web site at http://www.narcissistic-abuse.com

Photo by Nupo Deyon Daniel on Unsplash

Allowing the SGPC imbroglio to fester is not in national interest

The Shiromani Gurdwara Prabandhak Committee (SGPC) has a significant role to play in the religious affairs of the Sikh community and all others who follow the tenets of Sikhism and Guru Nanak. The body was formed on 1 November 1925, by an Act passed by the British Government in India with a gazette notification from the then Government of Punjab.

The SGPC was made responsible for the management of Sikh Gurdwara’s in Punjab which, at that stage included Haryana, Himachal Pradesh, the Union Territory of Chandigarh and many areas that went to Pakistan due to the partition of the country. SGPC continues to look after Gurdwara’s in the states of Haryana, Himachal Pradesh and the Union Territory of Chandigarh.

The responsibilities of the SGPC include managing the finances, security,  maintenance, property, (including historical artefacts and memorabilia) and religious aspects of the Sikh community. Even though there are many Gurdwara’s of historical importance outside Punjab that are not administered by the SGPC, yet, the organisation holds a lot of significance in the overall religious affairs of the Sikhs since it  also appoints the Jathedar of the Akal Takth. It is the Church of the Sikh community.

As per the Gurdwara Act 1925, the SGPC has a General House comprising of 175 elected members and 15 nominated members, including five Jathedars of the Takht’s. Presently the number of representatives is 191. Elections are to be held every five years. The General House elects the office bearers including the President, Vice Presidents, General Secretaries and a 11-member executive body on a yearly basis.

The last elections of the General House were held in 2011 when the Shiromani Akali Dal (SAD) (Badal) got an absolute majority with a total of 182 members including elected and nominated; the voting electorate was – Punjab 52.69 Lakh; Haryana 3.37 Lakh; Himachal Pradesh 23000 and Chandigarh 11, 932. The 2011 election has been contested in court for non-inclusion of Sehajdhari Sikhs in the electoral rolls whose inclusion is now solicited by the process of law.  

In December 2011, the Punjab and Haryana High Court nullified the polls and restored the voting rights of the Sehajdhari Sikhs by quashing the 2003 notification of the central government that disallowed them from voting.

In February 2012, the SGPC moved the Supreme Court challenging the High Court order. In 2016, the apex court, while reinstating the 2011 SGPC house, referred to an amendment by Parliament of the Sikh Gurdwaras Act, 1925, which denied voting rights to Sehajdhari Sikhs with retrospective effect from 2003. The case continues to be sub-judice. In the meantime, Haryana is demanding a separate Haryana Sikh Gurdwara Management Committee. A petition for the same is pending with the Supreme Court.

The outcome of these litigations is that after 2011 no elections of the General House of the SGPC have been held, instead, a new executive committee is being put in place in November every year.

The sub-judice status of the organisation paved the way for the SAD (Badal) and particularly the Badal family to gain full control over the SGPC. The process of the annual election of office bearers is  supposed to be carried out with an unanimous verdict or voting through secret ballot.  Sadly, from 2012 onwards,  the SGPC members, who owe their allegiance to the Badal family, have been unanimously authorising the party President, Sukhbir Badal, to choose the entire team.

The end result is that SAD (Badal) and particularly its President Sukhbir Badal are frequently reported to be blatantly using the organisation for personal  and party gains.

This situation has led to a lot of heartburn in the Sikh community that is the biggest casualty and has been left rudderless. Many senior leaders of the SAD (Badal) understood that they were getting alienated within the community. They attempted to set things right by insisting upon a more representative character of the SGPC as well as SAD (Badal), when this did not happen, many of the leaders left the SAD (Badal).

Now the detractors are joining hands to end the vice-like grip that the Badal family has over the SGPC. Sikh bodies like former Jathedar of Akal Takht Bhai Ranjit Singh led Panthic Akali  Lehar (PAL), former Jathedar of Takht Damdama Sahib Giani Kewal Singh led  Panthic Talmel Sangathan (PTS), Bhai Baldev Singh Wadala led Sikh Sadbhavana Dal (SSD) and Paramjit Singh Ranu led Sehajdhari Sikh Party (SSP)  are the leading the campaign. Also in the fray is the SAD (Amritsar) which has suddenly gained prominence due to the victory achieved by Simranjit Singh Mann in the Sangrur constituency by-elections.  A lot of the politics are now being played from foreign shores also.

These leaders and their organisations openly criticise the Badals and look for support to change the well entrenched system. Bhai Kewal Singh of PTS has announced his intention of contesting the elections. These organisations are loosely connected with each other but they do have a common objective  of bringing in the required autonomy followed by transparency in functioning, 

The long hiatus in the election process has come with another set of problems. As things stand, the organisation does not even have full representation. Some members have died, while the two – Sucha Singh Langah and Sharanjit Singh have resigned. The House presently consists of 165 members in addition to 15 co-opted members.

On 30 November 2021, Harjinder Singh Dhami, earlier honorary chief secretary of the organisation was elected as its president for the one-year term; his term is coming to an end in November this year, and there are many voices demanding  elections of the General House before the next President is elected.

Even if elections of the General House are not held the presidential and office bearer elections will witness stiff opposition with a lot of flak being exchanged in the media, however, the SAD (Badals) is expected to prevail. 

In the meantime, the registration of voters for the general house elections is underway under the scrutiny of the Chief Commissioner of Gurdwara Elections, Justice SS Saron. The chief commissioner has sent requisition for the necessary update of the electoral rolls by the field staff under various deputy commissioners. The process involves registration with the Patwari/designated person and then creation of a preliminary and final roll that stays relevant for five years. The election is held with prescribed democratic norms like filing of nomination, notification of symbols; notification of election agents, polling stations, etc. The chief commissioner has also stated that certain long standing demands like reduction of age of eligible candidates from 21 to 18 are under consideration.

The chief commissioner, however, clearly stated that elections will be held only when the central government gives the order and also in consideration of the many court cases presently underway. He has also admitted that his office lacks infrastructure and wherewithal to perform its duties since it has remained closed since 2011.  Overall, from his statements it seems that the environment in terms of administration and judicial oversight would make holding of general elections in the near term a big challenge. 

As things stand, there is a visible disconnect of the current SGPC dispensation with the Sikh Panth. Chaos prevails in the house proceedings of the SGPC due to the sharp rifts. There is an overwhelming perception that the office bearers are functioning only on their personal and vested interests. The SGPC also lost face by granting pardon to the Sirsa Dera chief, Gurmeet Ram Rahim who is now imprisoned for life in rape and murder cases.  

The end result is that the Sikh Church is under severe stress and unable to fulfil its mandate  especially propagation of Sikh tenets; many are deviating from the faith and veering towards Christianity.

It can be said with reasonable assurance that  SAD will face stiff opposition in all future elections and selection processes that are held for the SGPC. The opposition is likely to join hands at the last minute to defeat the Badal family.

The government of India can play a big role in creating an environment where free and fair general election of the SGPC can be conducted. The first step would be to bid for expeditious decisions on the pending court cases; simultaneously the chief commissioner of election needs to be fully empowered to get the registration and electoral rolls in place, additions and modification can be made once the courts decide the pending cases.

Allowing the SGPC imbroglio to fester is a big risk not only for the Sikhs but also the Punjabi community in general since it holds a lot of faith in the Sikh Gurus and tenets. The grip that the Badal family has on both SAD (Badal) and the SGPC is definitely not in favour of the Sikh community and Sikh Church.  A weakened Sikh Church in Punjab where the Sikh tenets are followed by all communities with equal fervour can have acute socio-political, economic and security implications in view of the border state status of Punjab and the enemy forces always on the look out to exploit chinks in the Punjabi armour.  It is therefore hoped that the SGPC imbroglio will find an early resolution and all efforts will be made to usher transparency, commitment and efficiency in the functioning of this very important body.

Jamaat-e-Islami is the ‘B team’ of Pakistan Army: Dr Allah Nazar

Baloch prominent leader and Balochistan Liberation Front’s head Dr. Allah Nazar Baloch, in a statement, reacted to Jamaat-e-Islami leader Maulana Hidayat-ur-Rehman’s exhortation to Baloch abstention from armed struggle.

“The apprehensions of the Baloch nationalists are turning out to be valid over time that Jamaat-e-Islami is the B-team of the Pakistani army trying to reiterate the history of Bangladesh in Balochistan. No doubt that these forces are nurtured by the Pakistani army and they create their narrative at the behest of the army”, stated Allah Nazar Baloch.

Further adding he said that Jamaat-e-Islami played a major role in the Bangladesh genocide. When Jamaat-e-Islami was unable to root in the Baloch secular society, they launched Maulana portraying him as a messiah using the platform of “Haq-Do-Tahreek” showing him as a secular Baloch, to create room for Jamaat-e-Islami indirectly in naive Baloch hearts, since he was highlighting the suffering of Baloch in a secular tone, many factions believed him. With time the Baloch secular slogan faded away and Jammat-e-Islam’s religious extremist and militant narrative came to the fore.

Nazar further said that “Maulana Hidayatur Rehman is publicly advising the Baloch youth that armed struggle is not the solution to any problem. We want to remind him, that this struggle is not for the cleaning of roads and drains, but for a great cause for which thousands of children of the Baloch nation have sacrificed. Like Jamaat-e-Islami or other parliamentary parties, they are not sacrificing their lives for privileges or mini projects in the local government system”.

Dr. Allah Nizar Baloch said that in the name of “Haqq do Balochistan” some Balochs are with Maulana but they should not consider it their authority and right to refrain Baloch from their armed struggle, it is Baloch fundamental and human right to choose any means of struggle.

The Baloch leader said that Balochs never misunderstood Jamaat-e-Islami’s agenda, but it exposed itself by opposing the Baloch national cause at the time. “Baloch knows Jamaat-e-Islami’s religious agenda. This group is nurtured by ‘Al Shams’ and ‘Al Badr’. From Maulana Maududi to Siraj-ul-Haq, all are the outputs of the Pakistani Army used when needed like  Zia-ul-Haq did. Later different governments at different times have used them for their cause. Baloch recognizes  Jamaat-e-Islami’s deceptive policy. It is everyone’s national responsibility to unveil their true face to the people”, he said.

Nigerian Scams – Begging Your Trust in Africa

By: Dr. Sam Vaknin

The syntax is tortured, the grammar mutilated, but the message – sent by snail mail, telex, fax, or e-mail – is coherent: an African bigwig or his heirs wish to transfer funds amassed in years of graft and venality to a safe bank account in the West. They seek the recipient’s permission to make use of his or her inconspicuous services for a percentage of the loot – usually many millions of dollars. A fee is required to expedite the proceedings, or to pay taxes, or to bribe officials – they plausibly explain. A recent (2005) variant involves payment with expertly forged postal money orders for goods exported to a transit address.

It is a scam two decades old – and it still works. In September 2002, a bookkeeper for a Berkley, Michigan law firm embezzled $2.1 million and wired it to various bank accounts in South Africa and Taiwan. Other victims were kidnapped for ransom as they traveled abroad to collect their “share”. Some never made it back. Every year, there are 5 such murders as well as 8-10 snatchings of American citizens alone. The usual ransom demanded is half a million to a million dollars.

The scam is so widespread that the Nigerians saw fit to explicitly ban it in article 419 of their penal code. The Nigerian President, Olusegun Obasanjo castigated the fraudsters for inflicting “incalculable damage to Nigerian businesses” and for “placing the entire country under suspicion”.

“Wired” quotes statistics presented at the International Conference on Advance Fee (419) Frauds in New York on Sept. 17, 2002:

“Roughly 1 percent of the millions of people who receive 419 e-mails and faxes are successfully scammed. Annual losses to the scam in the United States total more than $100 million, and law enforcement officials believe global losses may total over $1.5 billion.”

According to the “IFCC 2001 Internet Fraud Report”, published by the FBI and the National White Collar Crime Center, Nigerian letter fraud cases amount to 15.5 percent of all grievances. The Internet Fraud Complaint Center (renamed the Internet Crime Complaint Center, or IC3) refers such rip-offs to the US Secret Service. While the median loss in all manner of Internet fraud was $435 – in the Nigerian scam it was a staggering $5575. But only one in ten successful crimes is reported, says the FBI’s report.

The IFCC provides this advisory to potential targets:

  • Be skeptical of individuals representing themselves as Nigerian or other foreign government officials asking for your help in placing large sums of money in overseas bank accounts.
  • Do not believe the promise of large sums of money for your cooperation.
  • Do not give out any personal information regarding your savings, checking, credit, or other financial accounts.
  • If you are solicited, do not respond and quickly notify the appropriate authorities.

The “419 Coalition” is more succinct and a lot more pessimistic:

  1. “NEVER pay anything up front for ANY reason.
  2. NEVER extend credit for ANY reason.
  3. NEVER do ANYTHING until their check clears.
  4. NEVER expect ANY help from the Nigerian Government.
  5. NEVER rely on YOUR Government to bail you out.”

The State Department’sBureau of International Narcotics and Law Enforcement Affairs published a brochure titled “Nigerian Advance Fee Fraud”. It describes the history of this particular type of  swindle:

“AFF criminals include university-educated professionals who are the best in the world for nonviolent spectacular crimes. AFF letters first surfaced in the mid-1980s around the time of the collapse of world oil prices, which is Nigeria’s main foreign exchange earner. Some Nigerians turned to crime in order to survive. Fraudulent schemes such as AFF succeeded in Nigeria, because Nigerian criminals took advantage of the fact that Nigerians speak English, the international language of business, and the country’s vast oil wealth and natural gas reserves – ranked 13th in the world – offer lucrative business opportunities that attract many foreign companies and individuals.”

According to London’s Metropolitan Police Company Fraud Department, potential targets in the UK and the USA alone receive c. 1500 solicitations a week. The US Secret Service Financial Crime Division takes in 100 calls a day from Americans approach by the con-men. It now acknowledges that “Nigerian organized crime rings running fraud schemes through the mail and phone lines are now so large, they represent a serious financial threat to the country”.

Sometimes even the stamps affixed to such letters are forged. Nigerian postal workers are known to be in cahoots with the fraudsters. Names and addresses are obtained from “trade journals, business directories, magazine and newspaper advertisements, chambers of commerce, and the Internet”.

Victims are either too intimidated to complain or else reluctant to admit their collusion in money laundering and fraud. Others try in vain to recoup their losses by ploughing more money into the scheme.

Contrary to popular image, the scammers are often violent and involved in other criminal pursuits, such as drug trafficking, According to Nigeria’s Drug Law Enforcement Agency. The blight has spread to other countries. Letters from Sierra Leone, Ghana, Congo, Liberia, Togo, Ivory Coast, Benin, Burkina Faso, South Africa, Taiwan, or even Canada, the United Kingdom, Oman, and Vietnam are not uncommon.

The dodges fall into a few categories.

Over-invoiced contract scams involve the ostensible transfer of amounts obtained through inflated invoices to the bank account of an unrelated foreign firm. Contract fraud or “trade default” is simply a bogus order accompanied by a fraudulent bank draft (or fake postal or other money order) for the products of an export company accompanied by demand for “samples” and various transaction “fees and charges”.

Some of the rackets are plain outlandish. In the “wash-wash” confidence trick people have been known to pay up to $200,000 for a special solution to remove stains from millions in defaced dollar notes. Others “bought” heavily “discounted” crude oil stored in “secret” locations – or real estate in rezoned locales. “Clearing houses” or “venture capital organizations” claiming to act on behalf of the Central Bank of Nigeria launder the proceeds of the scams.

In another twist, charities, academic institutions, nonprofit organizations, and religious groups are asked to pay the inheritances tax on a “donation”. Some “dignitaries” and their relatives may seek to flee the country and ask the victims to advance the bribe money in return for a generous cut of the wealth they have stashed abroad.

“Bankers” may find inactive accounts with millions of dollars – often in lottery winnings – waiting to be transferred to a safe off-shore haven. Bogus jobs with inflated wages are another ostensible way to defraud state-owned companies – as is the sale of the target’s used vehicle to them for an extravagant price. There seems to be no end to criminal ingenuity.

Lately, the correspondence purports to be coming from – often white – disinterested professional third parties. Accountants, lawyers, directors, trustees, security personnel, or bankers pretend to be acting as fiduciaries for the real dignitary in need of help. Less gullible victims are subjected to plain old extortion with verbal intimidation and stalking.

The more heightened public awareness grows with over-exposure and the tighter the net of international cooperation against the scam, the wilder the stories it spawns. Letters have surfaced recently signed by dying refugees, tsunami victims, survivors of the September 11 attacks, and serendipitous US commandos on mission in Afghanistan.

Governments throughout the world have geared up to protect their businessmen. The US Department of Commerce, for instance, publishes the “World Traders data Report”, compiled by US embassy in Nigeria. It “provides the following types of information: types of organizations, year established, principal owners, size, product line, and financial and trade references”.

Unilateral US activity, inefficacious collaboration with the Nigerian government some of whose officials are rumored to be in on the deals, multilateral efforts in the framework of the OECD and the Interpol, education and information campaigns – nothing seems to be working.

The treatment of 419 fraudsters in Nigeria is so lenient that, according to the “Nigeria Tribune”, the United States threatened the country with sanctions if it does not considerably improve its record on financial crime by November 2002. Both the US Treasury’s Financial Crime Enforcement Network (FINCEN) and the OECD’s Financial Action Task Force (FATF) had characterized the country as “one of the worst perpetrators of financial crimes in the world”. The Nigerian central bank promises to get to grips with this debilitating problem.

Nigerian themselves – though often victims of the scams – take the phenomenon in stride. The Nigerian “Daily Champion”, proffered this insightful apologia on behalf of the ruthless and merciless 419 gangs. It is worth quoting at length:

“To eradicate the 419 scourge, leaders at all levels should work assiduously to create employment opportunities and people perception of the leaders as role models. The country’s very high unemployment figure has made nonsense of the so-called democracy dividends. Great majority of Nigerian youthful school leaver’s including University graduates, are without visible means of livelihood… The fact remains that most of these teeming youths cannot just watch our so-called leaders siphon their God-given wealthy. So, they resorted to alternative fraudulent means of livelihood called 419, at least to be seen as have arrived… Some of these 419ers are in the National Assembly and the State Houses of Assembly while some surround the President and governors across the country.”

Some swindlers seek to glorify their criminal activities with a political and historical context. The Web site of the “419 Coalition” contains letters casting the scam as a form of forced reparation for slavery, akin to the compensation paid by Germany to survivors of the holocaust. The confidence tricksters boast of defrauding the “white civilization” and unmasking the falsity of its claims for superiority. But a few delusional individuals aside, this is nothing but a smokescreen.

Greed outweighs fear and avarice enmeshes people in clearly criminal enterprises. The “victims” of advance fee scams are rarely incognizant of their alleged role. They knowingly and intentionally collude with self-professed criminals to fleece governments and institutions. This is one of the rare crimes where prey and perpetrator may well deserve each other.

Author Bio

Sam Vaknin (http://samvak.tripod.com/mediakit.html) is the author of Malignant Self-love: Narcissism Revisited as well as many other books and ebooks about topics in psychology, relationships, philosophy, economics, international affairs, and award-winning short fiction.

He is a former Visiting Professor of Psychology, Southern Federal University, Rostov-on-Don, Russia and Professor of Finance and Psychology in SIAS-CIAPS (Centre for International Advanced and Professional Studies).

He was the Editor-in-Chief of Global Politician and served as a columnist for Central Europe Review, PopMatters, eBookWeb , and Bellaonline, and as a United Press International (UPI) Senior Business Correspondent. He was the editor of mental health and Central East Europe categories in The Open Directory and Suite101. His YouTube channels garnered 20,000,000 views and 85,000 subscribers.

Visit Sam’s Web site at http://www.narcissistic-abuse.com

Photo by Nupo Deyon Daniel on Unsplash

The Narcissist in Custody Battles

Author: Sam Vaknin, Ph.D., former Visiting Professor of Psychology, Southern Federal University, Rostov-on-Don, Russia and Professor of Finance and Psychology in CIAPS (Centre for International Advanced and Professional Studies).

The narcissist regards his children in 6 ways:

1. As extensions of himself —> Possessiveness —-> Breach of BOUNDARIES —> abuse (incl. SEXUAL)

2. Mere avatars of his inner constructs

3. Pawns in the grand chess game that is his Life

4. Props in the theatre of his False Self (sources of narcissistic supply) —> Idealization-Devaluation and Approach-Avoidance —> Trauma

5. Potential competitors —> Rage, pathological (destructive) ENVY

6. Bargaining chips in the inevitable showdown with a hostile world as reified by his reneging, traitorous spouse.

In a custody battle, all these figments of his psychodynamics need to be adroitly addressed to achieve a favorable outcome as far as the children involved are concerned.

Reckless behaviour, substance abuse, immunity, and sexual deviance —> DANGER to welfare and life of child

MANIPULATIVE NARCISSISTIC PARENTS

Conflict between ENVY and MERGING (owing to DEPENDENCE on source of SUPPLY)

Control Mechanisms:

1. Guilt-driven (“I sacrificed my life for you”)

2. Codependent (“I need you, I cannot cope without you”)

3. Goal-driven (“We have a common goal which we can and must achieve”)

4. Shared psychosis or emotional incest (“You and I are united against the whole world, or at least against your monstrous, no-good father …”, “You are my one and only true love and passion”)

5. Explicit (“If you do not adhere to my principles, beliefs, ideology, religion, values, if you do not obey my instructions, I will punish you”).

IN CUSTODY BATTLES

PROXY WARS —> Uses them to tempt, convince, communicate, threaten, and otherwise manipulate

Abuse by Proxy

Co-opting

Some offenders – mainly in patriarchal and misogynist societies – co-opt their children into aiding and abetting their abusive conduct. The couple’s children are used as bargaining chips or leverage. They are instructed and encouraged by the abuser to shun the victim, criticize and disagree with her, withhold their love or affection, and inflict on her various forms of ambient abuse.

COPING

The Children

Most victims attempt to present to their children a “balanced” picture of the relationship and of the abusive spouse. In a vain attempt to avoid the notorious (and controversial) Parental Alienation Syndrome (PAS), they do not besmirch the abusive parent and, on the contrary, encourage the semblance of a normal, functional, liaison. This is the wrong approach. Not only is it counterproductive – it sometimes proves outright dangerous.

Children have a right to know the overall state of affairs between their parents. They have a right not to be cheated and deluded into thinking that “everything is basically OK” – or that the separation is reversible. Both parents are under a moral obligation to tell their offspring the truth: the relationship is over for good.

Younger kids tend to believe that they are somehow responsible or guilty for the breakdown of the marriage. They must be disabused of this notion. Both parents would do best to explain to them, in straightforward terms, what led to the dissolution of the bond. If spousal abuse is wholly or partly to blame – it should be brought out to the open and discussed honestly.

In such conversations it is best not to allocate blame. But this does not mean that wrong behaviors should be condoned or whitewashed. The victimized parent should tell the child that abusive conduct is wrong and must be avoided. The child should be taught how to identify the warning signs of impending abuse – sexual, verbal, psychological, and physical.

Moreover, a responsible parent should teach the child how to resist inappropriate and hurtful actions. The child should be brought up to insist on being respected by the other parent, on having him or her observe the child’s boundaries and accept the child’s needs and emotions, choices, and preferences.

The child should learn to say “no” and to walk away from potentially compromising situations with the abusive parent. The child should be brought up not to feel guilty for protecting himself or herself and for demanding his or her rights.

(1) The Erotomaniac

This kind of stalker believes that he is in love with you and that, regardless of overwhelming evidence to the contrary, the feeling is reciprocal (you are in love with him). He interprets everything you do (or refrain from doing) as coded messages confessing your eternal devotion to him and to your “relationship”. Erotomaniacs are lonely, socially-inapt people. They may also be people with whom you have been involved romantically (e.g., your former spouse, a former boyfriend, a one night stand) – or otherwise (for instance, colleagues or co-workers).

Best coping strategy

Ignore the erotomaniac. Do not communicate with him or even acknowledge his existence. The erotomaniac clutches at straws and often suffers from ideas of reference. He tends to blow out of proportion every comment or gesture of his “loved one”. Avoid contact – do not talk to him, return his gifts unopened, refuse to discuss him with others, delete his correspondence.

(2) The Narcissist

Feels entitled to your time, attention, admiration, and resources. Interprets every rejection as an act of aggression which leads to a narcissistic injury. Reacts with sustainedrage and vindictiveness. Can turn violent because he feels omnipotent and immune to the consequences of his actions.

Best coping strategy

Make clear that you want no further contact with him and that this decision is not personal. Be firm. Do not hesitate to inform him that you hold him responsible for his stalking, bullying, and harassment and that you will take all necessary steps to protect yourself. Narcissists are cowards and easily intimidated. Luckily, they never get emotionally attached to their prey and so can move on with ease.

(3) The Paranoid

By far the most dangerous the lot. Lives in an inaccessible world of his own making. Cannot be reasoned with or cajoled. Thrives on threats, anxiety, and fear. Distorts every communication to feed his persecutory delusions.

“The paranoid’s conduct is unpredictable and there is no ‘typical scenario’. But experience shows that you can minimise the danger to yourself and to your household by taking some basic steps.

If at all possible, put as much physical distance as you can between yourself and the stalker. Change address, phone number, email accounts, cell phone number, enlist the kids in a new school, find a new job, get a new credit card, open a new bank account. Do not inform your paranoid ex about your whereabouts and your new life. You may have to make painful sacrifices, such as minimise contact with your family and friends.

Even with all these precautions, your abusive ex is likely to find you, furious that you have fled and evaded him, raging at your newfound existence, suspicious and resentful of your freedom and personal autonomy. Violence is more than likely. Unless deterred, paranoid former spouses tend to be harmful, even lethal.

Be prepared: alert your local law enforcement officers, check out your neighbourhood domestic violence shelter, consider owning a gun for self-defence (or, at the very least, a stun gun or mustard spray). Carry these with you at all times. Keep them close by and accessible even when you are asleep or in the bathroom.

Erotomanic stalking can last many years. Do not let down your guard even if you haven’t heard from him. Stalkers leave traces. They tend, for instance, to ‘scout’ the territory before they make their move. A typical stalker invades his or her victim’s privacy a few times long before the crucial and injurious encounter.

Is your computer being tampered with? Is someone downloading your e-mail? Has anyone been to your house while you were away? Any signs of breaking and entering, missing things, atypical disorder (or too much order)? Is your post being delivered erratically, some of the envelopes opened and then sealed? Mysterious phone calls abruptly disconnected when you pick up? Your stalker must have dropped by and is monitoring you.

Notice any unusual pattern, any strange event, any weird occurrence. Someone is driving by your house morning and evening? A new ‘gardener’ or maintenance man came by in your absence? Someone is making enquiries about you and your family? Maybe it’s time to move on.

Teach your children to avoid your paranoid ex and to report to you immediately any contact he has made with them. Abusive bullies often strike where it hurts most – at one’s kids. Explain the danger without being unduly alarming. Make a distinction between adults they can trust – and your abusive former spouse, whom they should avoid.

Ignore your gut reactions and impulses. Sometimes, the stress is so onerous and so infuriating that you feel like striking back at the stalker. Don’t do it. Don’t play his game. He is better at it than you are and is likely to defeat you. Instead, unleash the full force of the law whenever you get the chance to do so: restraining orders, spells in jail, and frequent visits from the police tend to check the abuser’s violent and intrusive conduct.

The other behavioural extreme is equally futile and counterproductive. Do not try to buy peace by appeasing your abuser. Submissiveness and attempts to reason with him only whet the stalker’s appetite. He regards both as contemptible weaknesses, vulnerabilities he can exploit. You cannot communicate with a paranoid because he is likely to distort everything you say to support his persecutory delusions, sense of entitlement, and grandiose fantasies. You cannot appeal to his emotions – he has none, at least not positive ones.

Remember: your abusive and paranoid former partner blames it all on you. As far as he is concerned, you recklessly and unscrupulously wrecked a wonderful thing you both had going. He is vengeful, seething, and prone to bouts of uncontrolled and extreme aggression. Don’t listen to those who tell you to ‘take it easy’. Hundreds of thousands of women paid with their lives for heeding this advice. Your paranoid stalker is inordinately dangerous – and, more likely than not, he is with you for a long time to come.”

(4) The Antisocial (Psychopath)

Though ruthless and, typically, violent, the psychopath is a calculating machine, out to maximise his gratification and personal profit. Psychopaths lack empathy and may even be sadistic – but understand well and instantly the language of carrots and sticks.

Best coping strategy

Convince your psychopath that messing with your life or with your nearest is going to cost him dearly. Do not threaten him. Simply, be unequivocal about your desire to be left in peace and your intentions to involve the Law should he stalk, harass, or threaten you. Give him a choice between being left alone and becoming the target of multiple arrests, restraining orders, and worse. Take extreme precautions at all times and meet him only in public places.

IN COURT

It is very easy to “break” a narcissist in court by revealing facts that contradict his inflated perception of his grandiose (false) self; by criticising and disagreeing with him; by exposing his fake achievements, belittling his self-imputed and fantasized “talents and skills”; by hinting that he is subordinated, subjugated, controlled, owned or dependent upon a third party; by describing the narcissist as average, common, indistinguishable from others; by implying that the narcissist is weak, needy, dependent, deficient, slow, not intelligent, naive, gullible, susceptible, not in the know, manipulated, a victim, an average person of mediocre accomplishments.

Photo by Tingey Injury Law Firm on Unsplash

Dr Allah Nazar: Pak will misuse flood victim’s aid against Balochistan

Pro-independence leader and head of Balochistan Liberation Front, Dr. Allah Nazar Baloch, in a media statement, said that Pakistani colonial projects and colonial systems are causing an apparent increase in flood disasters in Balochistan.  On the one hand, dilapidated infrastructures and corrupt projects were washed away, on the other hand, more than a dozen dams could not withstand the water pressure and collapsed due to substandard construction.  Balochistan has been submerged in floods but the media and the Pakistani political system do not utter a single word about the flood and the victims. The alienation and apathy are sufficient to prove that our status is merely that of a slave nation and Pakistan’s interest lies in our resources and land only. The Pakistani political system considers the Baloch nation as just a colony.

The Baloch leader said that the devastation of the flood is undefinable. He said “we appeal to the international aid organizations and countries to come forward and support the flood victims”. Rehabilitation and helping the Baloch are not among Pakistan’s priorities. However, Pakistan will try definitely to collect international donations in the name of torrent catastrophes in Balochistan. It is to be made clear that if international organizations and countries trust Pakistan and provide aid, it will be manipulated to expand the ongoing military barbarity instead of victims’ recuperation.

He further said that if Pakistan receives any help from international donors it would  be used against the Baloch nation. The earthquake of 2013 in the Awaran and Kech districts is a clear example of it. The victims of the earthquake have not been rehabilitated even today and they are living a miserable life. All the international aid received by Pakistan was spent on the military forces in Balochistan so that they continue the atrocities, Baloch genocide, and occupation of the Baloch people. They are perpetrating grave violations of human rights by playing with human lives. Balochs living in mountains and remote areas have been forcibly relocated and settled near military camps. In this way, The livelihood of hundreds of families, including agriculture and herding, is being destroyed.

Dr. Allah Nazar Baloch added that in 2013, Pakistan received a large amount of aid from multiple countries for the earthquake victims, but instead of rehabilitating the victims, they were quickly used for military operations and suppressing people. In such a situation, the Baloch nation should find a way unitedly to assist and support each other on its own. The international community is requested to send their organizations to Balochistan instead of providing funds to Pakistan so that the work of rehabilitation of the victims can be accomplished appropriately.

He further said that the families of the missing persons in the same floods and stormy rains are protesting in front of the Governor’s House in Quetta for thirty-seven days to recover their loved ones.  Their demands are also genuine and simple like to be informed about their loved ones or to present them before the courts. But they are not even presenting them in the courts, because the army knows that enforced abducted people are not involved in any criminality. Therefore, the establishment cannot produce any evidence against them. They are punished just for being Baloch. In such a situation, the international community and the United Nations need to intervene so that Pakistan can be held accountable for the heinous crime of enforced disappearance.

International conspiracy to harm top Indian leaders

Providing foolproof security to the VVIPs like the Heads of a State, cabinet ministers, top echelons of judiciary, administration and security organizations, etc., has been a recognized practice since antiquity. Chingiz Khan and Timur’s bodyguards were almost replicas of today’s suicide bombers.  However, despite the foolproof security bandobast, many outstanding personalities were slain by their assassins. The reason for eliminating a distinguished personality or a top government functionary could be political, factional or personal. But there are other reasons also like religious fanaticism, ideological obsession and pure jealousy.

ISIS is the most powerful and dreadful terrorist organization in contemporary times responsible for the killing of important personalities. Many regional and local terrorist organizations are its close affiliates. It is a ruthless group of Islamic Theo-fascists intending to establish the Islamic Caliphate all over the West Asian countries, the Indian sub-continent eastwards right up to the Strait of Malacca or what they often call the region between the Dardanelles and the Strait of Malacca in the Indian Ocean.

India, with nearly 20 crores of Muslims, the next largest Muslim inhabited country after Indonesia, is now on the radar of ISIS. It’s anti-India programme, known as Ghazvatu’l Hind (Indian campaign for Islamization) is strongly assisted by many radical Islamic organizations spread over the entire region.  A Theo-fascist Entente has thus come into being. On the level of political philosophy, they are the sworn enemies of both democracy and secularism.

Raising suicide bombers called Fidayeen in their terminology, to eliminate the strong advocates of democracy and secularism in an Asiatic country where idol-worshippers (kafir and zindiq in their terminology) are to be found in numerical strength is their ordained mission. It has to be undertaken through muscle as well as brain power.

Our political ideologues including PM Narendra Modi are not off their radar. Ever since Modi became the Prime Minister in 2014 at least two aborted attempts were made to eliminate him. The latest was only recently in Punjab when he was left stranded for 24 minutes on a bridge by crowds with nefarious designs.

A great responsibility devolves on the security paraphernalia of the Home Ministry to ensure foolproof security for the Prime Minister. Our super cops of the intelligence organization must remember that no laxity is acceptable. The stubbornness of Indira Gandhi proved fatal.

Shocking news has come from Russia disclosing the arrest of a suicide bomber (fidayeen) in Moscow planning a suicide attack on the top leadership of India. Fuller details of the case are awaited. But whatever little has been made public, is too alarming and India has to take serious notice of the event.

A national of one of the Central Asian Republics (Uzbekistan or Turkmenistan) was recruited by ISIS and brought to Istanbul in Turkey to an ISIS camp. He was indoctrinated for several months and then assigned the task of blowing up some top Indian ruling personalities through suicide trappings. He was directed to go to Moscow and obtain his travel visa to India. But the alert Russian security personnel grabbed him and he let the story out when interrogated. The selection of Moscow route is significant.

Now, this incident has so many dimensions and many questions need to be answered. There is a reference to the so-called use of derogatory language against the Prophet of Islam by some Indian to which the Muslim world rose in protest. It means that the Islamic Theo-fascists have the programme of destabilizing India and in this process, they have registered the support of radicals in and outside India.

Secondly, Turkey has become the hub of training and brainwashing of the fidayeen and seems to have determined to export the products of these training camps to countries which it thinks are oppressing the Muslim population. President Erdogan is openly against India and has spoken against India in the UN and other assemblies. Very few people know that for quite some time Turkey has established direct contact with the militants and anti-India elements in Kashmir. It has opened the doors of its universities and colleges to the aspirant Kashmiri Muslim students who are simultaneously brainwashed and indoctrinated in the teachings of ISIS. Turkey is reported to be providing anti-India printed literature to the vulnerable segments in the valley. The students are promised scholarships and hospitality. The daughter of the late Ali Shah Geelani is reported to have established a digital centre in Turkey and is operating a website catering to the separatists in Kashmir. Bollywood celebrity Amir Khan was the special guest of Madam Erdogan of Turkey and he was given special hospitality in Ankara.

Turkey has established close relations with Pakistan for quite some time. They have secret military cooperation as well and Turkey with very effective drone technology has supplied dozens of Turkish Bayraktar drones to Pakistan which are deployed along LoC and IB in J&K to drop arms, ammunition and cash on the Indian side of the border. That case is under investigation at the police headquarters in Kashmir.

Turkey is strengthening the Pakistan navy by building various types of vessels for her. Recently the Turkey-built warship of Pakistan was seen somewhere in the waters of Sri Lanka. Turkey is also building submarines for Pakistan at its shipyard building centres.

It will be recalled that Turkey is ambitious to revive the lost glory of the Ottoman Empire. That is President Erdogan’s dream. For achieving that objective, he thinks he must wrest the leadership of the Islamic world from the hands of the Saudi monarch. Nearly three years ago Erdogan formed an alliance of four Islamic countries, Turkey, Iran, Pakistan and Malaysia whose heads were to meet in Kuala Lampur and declare that the Saudi monarch was not the permanent Guardian of the Twin Shrines of Mecca and Medina (Haramain Sharief) nor was he the leader of the Islamic world. In short, the four countries, all non-Semitic, wanted the leadership to be shifted to Ankara enabling Erdogan to boost his claim for the revival of the Ottoman Empire. But a strong action by Prince Salman of Saudi Arabia tore the Entente to shreds. Pakistan had to pay back the loan of one billion dollars to the Saudis.

In the context of the arrest of the ISIS-trained suicide bomber by the security forces in Moscow, an important question needs to be answered. The suicide terrorist was trained in a training centre of ISIS in Turkey. Such a centre as is banned by the UN cannot function in Turkey without the consent and knowledge of the Turkish government. The existence of this training centre indicates that Turkey has no intention of playing her role in the anti-terrorism policy. It is a country that promotes terrorism.

Moreover, Turkey is a member of NATO and this organization has declared publicly that it will do all possible to counter terrorism. Therefore, it is the responsibility of NATO authorities to question Turkey (a member of NATO) on her relations with the banned ISIS.

India should also bring the episode to the notice of the UN Security Council and she must state that one cannot say how many before the one arrested in Moscow will have succeeded in entering India. On this basis, India should demand that Turkey is censured by the SC and warned that if there is any further evidence of her involvement in terrorism, she would be expelled from NATO and all other organs of the UN. India should not take it lying low.

At home, India has to upgrade its security bandobast and increase round-the-clock vigil so that miscreants are apprehended before they succeed in striking vulnerable spots.

Indian Army’s unmatched resilience

While the nation was celebrating ‘Azadi ka Amrit Mahotsav’ [grand celebration of Freedom’s Nectar] to commemorate India’s 75th Independence Day, on the icy heights of Siachen Glacier, an Indian army patrol recovered the mortal remains of Lance Naik Chandrashekhar Harbola. This brave soldier was a member of a 20 men team which was patrolling the treacherous snow-covered landscape of the highest battlefield in the world to prevent any ingress by the Pakistan army when this patrolling party was hit by a massive avalanche on 29 May 1984.

Despite extensive search, the bodies of five soldiers couldn’t be located, and Harbola was one of them. So, while this recovery must have opened up many nearly four-decade old wounds, but discovery of Harbola’s mortal remains with his rifle still clenched in his lifeless and frozen hands, serves as a solemn but apt indicator of the unparalleled grit and consummate devotion to duty for which the Indian army is respected all over the world.

In the last 76 years, the Indian army has more than lived up to the high expectations of the people. It has dealt firmly with those who tried to violate the country’s national integrity, and repeatedly defeated Rawalpindi’s evil design to annex J&K. It has also frustrated Pakistan army’s attempt to create anarchy in Kashmir Valley by sponsoring terrorism and thwarted Gen Pervez Musharraf’s attempt in 1999 to alter the Line of Control [LoC] alignment through well planned intrusions.

Though the Indian army did suffer a reverse in 1962, it’s no secret that this was primarily due to lack of requisite military hardware and certainly not because of any inadequacy in fighting capabilities or the courage of its rank and file. Infact, it was the heroic last stand of a 120 strong Company of 13 Kumaon Regiment at Rezang La in Eastern Ladakh during this conflict [in which 114 bravehearts including their company commander Major Shaitan Singh made the supreme sacrifice] that has made this hitherto fore unknown mountain pass, the epitome of Indian army’s unmatched valour and spirit of sacrifice!

There’s no dearth of accounts detailing the valour of the Indian army. In 1947, when outstripped by hordes of Pakistani army men and tribals, Maj Somnath Sharma’s last message to the brigade headquarters was, “The enemy are only 50 yards from us. We are heavily outnumbered. We are under devastating fire. I shall not withdraw an inch, but will fight to the last man and the last round.’ Maj Sharma was posthumously awarded Param Vir Chakra [PVC], India’s highest gallantry award.

During the Indo-Pak Conflict of 1965, despite being seriously wounded in action, Lt Col A B Tarapore, the commanding an armoured regiment [17 Horse], refused evacuation saying, “If my troops are here, my regiment is here, I will die fighting here. I will not go back.” Unconcerned by his injuries, he bravely fought on for six days before making the supreme sacrifice on the battlefield. Lt Col Tarapore was posthumously awarded PVC.

Six years later, during a fierce tank battle during the 1971 Indo-Pak War, the tank commanded by 2nd Lt Arun Khetarpal of 17 Horse caught fire after receiving a direct hit. On being ordered to abandon his burning tank, the 21-year-old subaltern refused, saying that “No Sir, I will not abandon my tank. My main gun is still working …,” and for his conspicuous act of valour, 2Lt Khetrapal was posthumously awarded PVC.

Such was his daring that even his adversary Maj [later Brig] Khwaja Mohammed Naser, of Pakistan army’s 13 Lancers to this day remembers how 2Lt Khetrapal “stood like an insurmountable rock between the victory and failure of the counter attack by the SPEARHEADS – 13 LANCERS on 16 Dec 1971.” Maj AH Amin, a retired Pakistan army armoured corps officer, columnist and military historian too admits that “The only occasion when a breakthrough [by Pakistan army] could have occurred was when two squadrons of 13 Lancers attacked together in the afternoon, but a gallant last ditch lone stand by 2/Lt Arun Khetarpal of Poona Horse averted the danger.”

Indian army’s unparalleled grit and resilience once again came to the fore during 1999 Kargil War.  Capt Manoj Pandey, PVC [Posthumous] famous pledge that “If death strikes before I prove my blood, I promise I will kill death,” and the promise made by Capt Vikram Batra, PVC [Posthumous] that “I will either come back after raising the Indian flag in victory, or return wrapped in it,” reflects the unmatched motivation of Indian army’s rank and file.

Can there be any better testament than these as regards the Indian army’s consummate dedication?

In more recent times, the Galwan face-off on May 5,2020 has again proved beyond any doubt that the Indian army’s phenomenal resilience continues to flourish. Similarly, the Indian army’s bold pre-emptive action of occupying strategically important heights of the Kailash Range on the intervening night of August 29/30, 2020, to counter PLA build up in Pangong Tso area proves that for our daring men in olive greens, nothing is impossible! To thwart any nefarious designs of People’s Liberation Army [PLA] in Ladakh, the Indian army has dug-in and braving the harsh arctic-like winter conditions, is maintaining 24X7 vigil in this area.

Besides the impressive professional acumen and ‘never-say-die’ approach displayed by the Indian Army while dealing with external threats, its rank and file has always walked the extra mile during natural calamities and other disasters to save their countrymen and ameliorate their suffering. One such example is of the massive 2010 flash floods in Ladakh in which more than 71 settlements were inundated and almost 1,500 homes damaged. The Indian army immediately swung into action and undeterred by the raging torrents, rescued marooned civilians, including about 3,000 tourists.

Ladakh Scouts whose troops hail from this region and are located here were amongst the first responders and carried out their rescue mission with utmost dedication. A lady tourist from Delhi recounted an interesting incident regarding her interaction with a Junior Commissioned Officer [JCO] from Ladakh Scouts who was supervising rescue operations. While sipping a hot cup of tea after her harrowing ordeal, she, out of sheer curiosity, asked him where his native village was and if had also been hit by the floods. She also enquired whether his family members and friends were safe.

The JCO replied that his village was not very far away and being located in an equally low-lying area, would have certainly been submerged. However, since the mobile network had been disrupted, he was unaware of the current status of his family members. Taken aback by his calm composure, the surprised lady asked him if he and his team were worried about the safety and wellbeing of their family members?

The JCO calmly replied that though anxious, they had put their minds and heart into the rescue tasks assigned to them and had not allowed emotions to impede their physical and mental abilities. Another reason why they weren’t particularly perturbed was that just like this team was assigned the task of rescuing people here, they knew for sure that some other such army team would be carrying out rescue and relief operations in their native villages. So, there was no need to unduly fret because the army would ensure that each and every affected person would be safely evacuated and well taken care of!

Just four years later, when massive floods in Kashmir paralysed the civil administration, it was the army, which despite itself being a victim of this humungous calamity, once again measured up upto public expectations by undertaking massive and well-coordinated rescue and relief operations. Despite limited resources at its disposal and efforts by pro-Pakistan elements led by separatists to undermine rescue/relief work, the army gave an extremely impressive account of itself, and the credit for this goes to the professional ethos of ‘service before self’ that abounds within theIndian army.

Terrorism is a political tool for China

China does not look at terrorism from either ethical or humanistic parameters.  She cares only for political considerations while condoning or condemning terrorism. Generally speaking, where Beijing finds terrorism hurting its interests or obstructing its global strategy, she will not wait to disapprove it but when terrorism hurts anybody on the other side, she will not only overlook it but will unhesitatingly try to protect the terrorist.  

The case in point is a proposal before the Security Council purporting to designate a Pakistani as an international terrorist. China blocked it.  Let us debate the issue.

On 1 June, India and the US  submitted a joint proposal to the Security Council demanding to list Abdur Rahman Makki, the brother-in-law of LeT founder Hafiz Saeed and his close aid,    under the UN Security Council’s Al-Qaeda and ISIL Sanctions Committee which is also known as the UNSC 1267 Committee. The proposal was submitted under a “no-objection procedure” valid till June 16. Its copies had been circulated among all members of the SC in advance.

Who is Makki and what are the charges against him? This question is the base on which the entire proposal has been built. The 74-year-old Makki has been performing the LeT leadership role for a long time. The US has already designated the Pakistan-based Lashkar-e-Taiyyaba (LeT) a Foreign Terrorist Organization (FTO) because of its involvement in the 9/11 attack. Makki occupied various leadership roles in LeT, and both India and the US have already listed Makki as a terrorist under their domestic laws after convincing evidence was collected.

The Hindustan Times of 18 June wrote that Makki is the deputy chief of LeT and head of the group’s political affairs department. Both LeT and its front organisation, Jama’at-ud-Dawah (JuD) have been proscribed as terrorist entities by the UN.

Under pressure from the Financial Action Task Force (FATF) that Pakistan cracks down on terror financing, a case of terror financing was framed against him and a Lahore court gave him an 18-month prison term. Makki has been involved in recruiting and radicalising youth to plan attacks in India, especially in Jammu and Kashmir. Pakistani terrorist organizations like LeT and JuD were involved in the 2008 Mumbai attack, the Red Fort attack on December 2000, the Rampur CRPF Camp attack in January 2008, Karan Nagar (Srinagar) attack on February 2018, Khanpur, Baramulla attack in May 2018 and the Gurez-Bandipur attack in August 2018. In November 2010, the US Department of the Treasury designated Makki as a Specially Designated Global Terrorist. “The US government had also put a bounty of $2 million on his whereabouts”, wrote the Wire.

Both India and the US strengthened their demand for a listing of Abdur Raman Makki based on the evidence available to them. We have said that as per practice and procedure, the joint proposal of the two countries was circulated among all members of the SC in advance.

On 16 June, China, a close ally of Pakistan, placed a “technical hold” on the proposal to list Makki and this measure can last for up to six months at a time. China’s action of placing a technical hold did not come as a surprise because earlier China had followed the same policy when a three – a member proposal of designating Masu’d Azhar as a global terrorist was blocked by China under the same strategy.  Defending its obstruction move the Chinese Foreign Ministry spokesman said, “China will continue to conduct its work constructively and responsibly”.  He said in updated comments posted on the Foreign Ministry’s website. China thinks that obstructing the designating of terrorists like Masu’d Azhar and Makki is “constructive and responsible”.

Asked to elaborate on his comments, especially on procedures and rules, Chinese foreign office spokesman Wang declined to go into the details. “I have made China’s position clear. I’m not going to repeat myself”, he said. Responding to another question about whether China’s stand to put a hold on the designation of the wanted terrorist will add to the growing list of issues causing discord between India and China, he said: “On the listing of the person you mentioned, I just stated China’s position”. He did not have any convincing answer.

As is evident, the Chinese foreign office spokesman failed to convince the reporters that there was weight in his argument that China was ‘conforming to rules and procedures or there was any other ‘technical hold’ of cognizable importance. It was a political decision to placate a particular country and cater to her interests. The spokesman declined to elucidate where the proposal did not conform to the rules and procedures. He was on the slippery wicket.

This exposes the double-speak of China in its commitment to join the fight against terrorism. It will be reminded that how Beijing has been treating the Sunni Muslim-dominated areas of the eastern province of Xinjiang and forcing the nationalist forces of these Muslims to flee the country or suffer incarceration in labour camps, has been condemned by the entire world except its vassal Pakistan. Rather Pakistan has appreciated the state persecution of and the terrorising of its Uighur subjects. It has to be noted that China is not opposing the listing of Pakistan-based terrorist organizations and leaders (Azhar, Hafiz Saeed, Lakhvi, Makki et al) only to placate friendly Pakistan but more importantly she wants that the committed fundamentalist-terrorist organizations in Pakistan do not attempt to export their Theo-fascist ideology to the Uighur. It will be reminded that previously Beijing issued a harsh warning to Pakistan not to allow the dissident Uighurs to join the terrorist camps in Pakistan for receiving training in guerrilla warfare. Even a few such provocateurs arrested by the Chinese security forces were summarily executed in Xinjiang.

Again, China got infuriated by the visit of House Speaker Pelosi’s recent visit to Taiwan. China did not only fire missiles and moved its warships into the Chinese waters but also imposed a ban on Pelosi and her family members’ visit to Taiwan defining her visit as a threat to China’s integrity. In simpler language, Pelosi’s mere visit to Taiwan is considered a threat but Makki as a component of LeT that has openly declared jihad against India in Kashmir and is fighting a proxy war for three decades is not considered a threat to the integrity of India. This is double-speak.

Reacting to the policy of double-speak, the Indian Ministry of External Affairs has rightly concluded that it is going to damage and ultimately sink the credibility of China in the eyes of the international community. China has not respected its commitment to joining the global community in the fight against terrorism.  China conceitedly does not even take into account that in May 2019, the global body designated Pakistan-based Jaish-e-Muhammed chief Masu’d Azhar as a “global terrorist”, almost a decade after New Delhi had first approached the world body on the issue.

This analysis strongly supports the idea that drastic fundamental reforms in the UN structure are inevitable. A big chunk of humanity can no more be sidelined;  it has to be taken on board, particularly when crucial matters about the perpetuation of the humans and animals on this globe are to be debated.

Why nobody wants to lead the Congress?

Congress interim president Sonia Gandhi has told Ashok Gehlot, the Congress Chief Minister of Rajasthan, to be the next Congress President.

Sonia Gandhi is unwell; Rahul has declined to be the Congress president saying that he was accepting his failure to win for his party in two consecutive parliamentary elections.  Priyanka Vadra is too inexperienced to hold the truant flock of Congressites together.

Is this the end of dynastic rule that has been vehemently opposed by the BJP-led government? Yes and NO, both. Yes because at least till the 2024 general elections are over and the status of Congress is known, Rahul Gandhi has to cool his heels. If Congress can regain its foothold in Indian politics, Rahul Gandhi will have a convincing claim to ask for the President’s position in the party.  But if Congress repeats its dismal performance, the end of dynastic rule in Congress is certain.

Why Sonia Gandhi chose Ashok Gehlot needs to be understood. Sonia Gandhi is strictly following the policy of Congress dynastic stalwarts of controlling by proxy. Pratibha Patil and Manmohan Singh are two glaring examples. Ashok Gehlot will be joining them soon. Knowing that Ashok Gehlot is a man of straw, Rahul Gandhi will have no problem replacing him in case the parliamentary election of 2024 throws him up. Even if that does not happen, still Rahul Gandhi as General Secretary will be all the more powerful and make Manmohan Singh of Ashok Gehlot.

The acquiescent and unquestioning Ghelot has responded to Sonia’s call by saying that he is not worth the distinguished position and that there is a consensus among Congressites that Rahul Gandhi should be crowned as President of the party.

The question is that the dynastic rule had come to a pass where power and authority got concentrated in Sonia Gandhi and her son. The stand taken by the G-22 was a clarion call for the Congress High Command to read the writing on the wall. When Sonia Gandhi failed to show the subtle qualities of diplomatic skill, the seniors among the G-22 gradually began looking the other way. But some opportunists among them tried to hunt with the hound and run with the hare. They even tried to meddle in their Congress formations in their respective states. Azad is an example. But these silent or active rabble rouse failed in their designs just because they had no standing of their own in their so-called constituencies. They were walking the podium with Congress crutches.

The big fuss in the Congress was the outcome of a well-conceived but ill-executed mega reform in the party in which Rahul tried to induct the youth into the organization from the ground zero level to the highest rungs. He did not take the seniors into confidence, nor consulted them on the important aspects of the scheme and the modus operandi. They felt sidelined, disrespected and neglected. The Congress Working Committee that continued to function even after showing out the seniors and stalwarts was described in the paper by Observer Research Foundation: “A large number of CWC members unprincipled, opportunists and self-serving individuals for whom self-interest is paramount.” 

Torn by internal dissensions, taken in by a coterie of sycophants, blinded by lust for power and disillusioned by meaningless slogans like “India is Indira and Indira is India”, the Congress High Command gradually became a prisoner of its illusions. The High Command trio did not understand that it was distancing not only from the senior and experienced bunch of leaders but from the masses of the people as well.  This could be discerned from Rahul Gandhi losing from Amethi and finding a narrow escape in the Muslim-dominated constituency in Kerala. The real task of Congress shifted from the progress and development of the country to a raging battle of up-man-ship at its top echelon level. Considering India the private property of dynastic entities, the so-called Congress High Command lost the vision of its founding fathers and great thinkers, patriots and parliamentarians. Gradually but it began with a downward graph. Those who stuck to the High Command like leech were mostly sycophants or opportunists.

Congress miserably failed to understand the message that Modi’s first term (2014-2019) sent across the length and breadth of India. On the day when Modi assumed charge in 2014, the Washington Post wrote that for the first time India had chosen a national government after her independence. The Indian leadership and bureaucracy that inherited the British legacy of divide and rule did irreparable harm to the Indian nation. The majority population was disillusioned by the policies of the Congress government that challenged the millennia-old ethos of Indian cultural and social structure. Marxist-Leninist brand of socialism would not make a deep impression on the Hindu mind that had born the worst type of persecution during the past five or six centuries of foreign rule.

Nehru contributed to the creation of a wedge between the Hindu way of life deeply steeped in tradition but open to modernization at the same time and those influenced by the Marxist ideology without taking into consideration the quintessential social order of ancient India running into modern times.

The Indian nation has rejected Congress in two general elections and has opted for India-centric liberal nationalism. The Indian cake has Hindu icing like it or not. Against it, Congress’ secularism is vicious and blatantly communal.

Sonia Gandhi is quitting the post owing to her deteriorating health. But nominating Ashok Gehlot as her successor in no way solves the woes with which Congress is beset. Nominating the successor or manipulating his election is a clear signal that she has tried to keep the way clear for her son if it so happens. We don’t think that will drag Congress out of woods. It will be the subversion of democratically elected leadership. The Congress stalwarts (if left any of them in the party) will fiercely oppose the strategy. Congress will continue to run along the suicidal path. That is no guarantee for the rejuvenation of the party.

Sonia Gandhi will be leaving for a medical check-up. Rahul and Priyanka both will be accompanying her.  Some observers call it the prelude to the ultimate departure of the High Command from its post. How will the headless party manage its affairs is a moot point. Give the assurance that the High Command chapter has been closed; the lower rungs of the party do have the capability of reviving the strength and influence of Congress in due course of time. For the High Command, this is the decisive moment. If it can shun the lust for power, Congress will survive; otherwise the prophetic words of PM Modi viz. “Congress mukt Bharat” will come true.